2月までにハメネイが退く確率は__、1月には?
NEW
$14,969 出来高
Jan 31, 2026

>30%
$9,651 出来高
10%

>30%
$9,651 出来高
10%

>50%
$5,318 出来高
6%

>50%
$5,318 出来高
6%
ルール
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28-over-50 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28-over-50 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
作成日: Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
取引量
$14,969終了日
Jan 31, 2026作成日
Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...2月までにハメネイが退く確率は__、1月には?
$14,969 出来高

>30%
$9,651 出来高
10%

>50%
$5,318 出来高
6%
について
取引量
$14,969終了日
Jan 31, 2026作成日
Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。