Trader consensus has locked in <2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 28 at a near-certain 100% implied probability following the official TSA release of 2,426,467 travelers screened that day—well below the threshold amid a nationwide staffing crisis. Prolonged government shutdown impacts, with over 450 TSA officers quitting and callout rates hitting 40-50% at major airports, have suppressed volumes across late March, as evidenced by sub-2.8 million daily figures from March 24-29 despite spring break demand. Realistic upsets are improbable barring a rare data revision by TSA, which has never occurred post-publication; traders see no path to higher bins given the finalized count.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日<2.6M 100.0%
2.6M-2.8M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
$9,943 Vol.
$9,943 Vol.
2026/03/28
<2.6M
Yes
2.6M-2.8M
No
2.8M-3.0M
No
3.0M-3.2M
No
3.2M-3.4M
No
>3.4M
No
<2.6M 100.0%
2.6M-2.8M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
$9,943 Vol.
$9,943 Vol.
2026/03/28
<2.6M
$1,624 Vol.
Yes
2.6M-2.8M
$496 Vol.
No
2.8M-3.0M
$3,593 Vol.
No
3.0M-3.2M
$1,592 Vol.
No
3.2M-3.4M
$1,602 Vol.
No
>3.4M
$1,036 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus has locked in <2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 28 at a near-certain 100% implied probability following the official TSA release of 2,426,467 travelers screened that day—well below the threshold amid a nationwide staffing crisis. Prolonged government shutdown impacts, with over 450 TSA officers quitting and callout rates hitting 40-50% at major airports, have suppressed volumes across late March, as evidenced by sub-2.8 million daily figures from March 24-29 despite spring break demand. Realistic upsets are improbable barring a rare data revision by TSA, which has never occurred post-publication; traders see no path to higher bins given the finalized count.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
音量
$9,943終了日
2026/03/28マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus has locked in <2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 28 at a near-certain 100% implied probability following the official TSA release of 2,426,467 travelers screened that day—well below the threshold amid a nationwide staffing crisis. Prolonged government shutdown impacts, with over 450 TSA officers quitting and callout rates hitting 40-50% at major airports, have suppressed volumes across late March, as evidenced by sub-2.8 million daily figures from March 24-29 despite spring break demand. Realistic upsets are improbable barring a rare data revision by TSA, which has never occurred post-publication; traders see no path to higher bins given the finalized count.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
音量
$9,943終了日
2026/03/28マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus has locked in <2.6 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 28 at a near-certain 100% implied probability following the official TSA release of 2,426,467 travelers screened that day—well below the threshold amid a nationwide staffing crisis. Prolonged government shutdown impacts, with over 450 TSA officers quitting and callout rates hitting 40-50% at major airports, have suppressed volumes across late March, as evidenced by sub-2.8 million daily figures from March 24-29 despite spring break demand. Realistic upsets are improbable barring a rare data revision by TSA, which has never occurred post-publication; traders see no path to higher bins given the finalized count.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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