Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日マグダレナ・アンデション 59%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 34%
ジミー・オーケソン 5.3%
エバ・ブッシュ 2.2%
$1,219,965 Vol.
$1,219,965 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
59%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
34%
ジミー・オーケソン
5%
エバ・ブッシュ
2%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
マグダレナ・アンデション 59%
ウルフ・クリステルソン 34%
ジミー・オーケソン 5.3%
エバ・ブッシュ 2.2%
$1,219,965 Vol.
$1,219,965 Vol.
マグダレナ・アンデション
59%
ウルフ・クリステルソン
34%
ジミー・オーケソン
5%
エバ・ブッシュ
2%
アマンダ・リンド
<1%
ヌーシ・ダドゴスター
<1%
アンナ＝カリン・ハット
<1%
シモナ・モハムソン
<1%
ダニエル・ヘルデーン
<1%
エリザベート・タンド・リングクヴィスト
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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