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次期ベトナム大統領

Market icon

次期ベトナム大統領

トー・ラム 95%

ファン・ヴァン・ザン 4.0%

チャン・タイン・マン 1.4%

チャン・カム・トゥ <1%

Polymarket

$27,090,367 Vol.

トー・ラム 95%

ファン・ヴァン・ザン 4.0%

チャン・タイン・マン 1.4%

チャン・カム・トゥ <1%

Polymarket

$27,090,367 Vol.

Market icon

トー・ラム

$3,265,599 Vol.

95%

Market icon

ファン・ヴァン・ザン

$2,045,666 Vol.

4%

Market icon

チャン・タイン・マン

$2,081,087 Vol.

1%

Market icon

チャン・カム・トゥ

$1,777,539 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

グエン・ズイ・ゴック

$745,072 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

ファム・ミン・チン

$15,440,488 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

ルオン・クオン

$1,734,917 Vol.

<1%

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tô Lâm's dominant 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged status as Communist Party General Secretary, unanimously re-elected for a full five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, consolidating power amid economic reform pledges. The ruling party's landslide victory, securing 97% of National Assembly seats in the March 15 elections, positions the incoming legislature—set to convene in early April—to formally endorse top state leaders. This ceremonial role typically aligns with the paramount party chief, leaving minimal room for rivals like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang. Realistic challenges include unforeseen health issues, internal Politburo shifts, or procedural surprises, though party unanimity signals low risk.

Tô Lâm's dominant 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged status as Communist Party General Secretary, unanimously re-elected for a full five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, consolidating power amid economic reform pledges. The ruling party's landslide victory, securing 97% of National Assembly seats in the March 15 elections, positions the incoming legislature—set to convene in early April—to formally endorse top state leaders. This ceremonial role typically aligns with the paramount party chief, leaving minimal room for rivals like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang. Realistic challenges include unforeseen health issues, internal Politburo shifts, or procedural surprises, though party unanimity signals low risk.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tô Lâm's dominant 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged status as Communist Party General Secretary, unanimously re-elected for a full five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, consolidating power amid economic reform pledges. The ruling party's landslide victory, securing 97% of National Assembly seats in the March 15 elections, positions the incoming legislature—set to convene in early April—to formally endorse top state leaders. This ceremonial role typically aligns with the paramount party chief, leaving minimal room for rivals like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang. Realistic challenges include unforeseen health issues, internal Politburo shifts, or procedural surprises, though party unanimity signals low risk.

Tô Lâm's dominant 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged status as Communist Party General Secretary, unanimously re-elected for a full five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, consolidating power amid economic reform pledges. The ruling party's landslide victory, securing 97% of National Assembly seats in the March 15 elections, positions the incoming legislature—set to convene in early April—to formally endorse top state leaders. This ceremonial role typically aligns with the paramount party chief, leaving minimal room for rivals like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang. Realistic challenges include unforeseen health issues, internal Politburo shifts, or procedural surprises, though party unanimity signals low risk.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「次期ベトナム大統領」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トー・ラム」で95%、次いで「ファン・ヴァン・ザン」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次期ベトナム大統領」は$27.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 21, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次期ベトナム大統領」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次期ベトナム大統領」の現在のフロントランナーは「トー・ラム」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ファン・ヴァン・ザン」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次期ベトナム大統領」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。