Tô Lâm's dominant 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged status as Communist Party General Secretary, unanimously re-elected for a full five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, consolidating power amid economic reform pledges. The ruling party's landslide victory, securing 97% of National Assembly seats in the March 15 elections, positions the incoming legislature—set to convene in early April—to formally endorse top state leaders. This ceremonial role typically aligns with the paramount party chief, leaving minimal room for rivals like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang. Realistic challenges include unforeseen health issues, internal Politburo shifts, or procedural surprises, though party unanimity signals low risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トー・ラム 95%
ファン・ヴァン・ザン 4.0%
チャン・タイン・マン 1.4%
チャン・カム・トゥ <1%
$27,090,367 Vol.
$27,090,367 Vol.

トー・ラム
95%

ファン・ヴァン・ザン
4%

チャン・タイン・マン
1%

チャン・カム・トゥ
<1%

グエン・ズイ・ゴック
<1%

ファム・ミン・チン
<1%

ルオン・クオン
<1%
トー・ラム 95%
ファン・ヴァン・ザン 4.0%
チャン・タイン・マン 1.4%
チャン・カム・トゥ <1%
$27,090,367 Vol.
$27,090,367 Vol.

トー・ラム
95%

ファン・ヴァン・ザン
4%

チャン・タイン・マン
1%

チャン・カム・トゥ
<1%

グエン・ズイ・ゴック
<1%

ファム・ミン・チン
<1%

ルオン・クオン
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.
If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.
If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tô Lâm's dominant 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged status as Communist Party General Secretary, unanimously re-elected for a full five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, consolidating power amid economic reform pledges. The ruling party's landslide victory, securing 97% of National Assembly seats in the March 15 elections, positions the incoming legislature—set to convene in early April—to formally endorse top state leaders. This ceremonial role typically aligns with the paramount party chief, leaving minimal room for rivals like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang. Realistic challenges include unforeseen health issues, internal Politburo shifts, or procedural surprises, though party unanimity signals low risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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