Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in recent polls, including a March 28 survey showing Lombardo at 39% to Ford's 38% amid 17% undecideds, reflecting the razor-thin trader consensus with Democrats at 49.5% implied probability. Nevada's status as a battleground state with split-ticket voting history, Democratic strength in Clark County, and Republican advantages among seniors and rural voters keep the race deadlocked, exacerbated by a generic ballot favoring Democrats 40%-36%. High undecideds and Lombardo's incumbency provide a floor, but separation could emerge from June 9 primaries weeding challengers, national midterm trends, endorsements, or debates on economy and immigration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
50%
共和党
49%
$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$3,806 Vol.
50%
共和党
$14,521 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in recent polls, including a March 28 survey showing Lombardo at 39% to Ford's 38% amid 17% undecideds, reflecting the razor-thin trader consensus with Democrats at 49.5% implied probability. Nevada's status as a battleground state with split-ticket voting history, Democratic strength in Clark County, and Republican advantages among seniors and rural voters keep the race deadlocked, exacerbated by a generic ballot favoring Democrats 40%-36%. High undecideds and Lombardo's incumbency provide a floor, but separation could emerge from June 9 primaries weeding challengers, national midterm trends, endorsements, or debates on economy and immigration.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$18,327終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in recent polls, including a March 28 survey showing Lombardo at 39% to Ford's 38% amid 17% undecideds, reflecting the razor-thin trader consensus with Democrats at 49.5% implied probability. Nevada's status as a battleground state with split-ticket voting history, Democratic strength in Clark County, and Republican advantages among seniors and rural voters keep the race deadlocked, exacerbated by a generic ballot favoring Democrats 40%-36%. High undecideds and Lombardo's incumbency provide a floor, but separation could emerge from June 9 primaries weeding challengers, national midterm trends, endorsements, or debates on economy and immigration.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$18,327終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in recent polls, including a March 28 survey showing Lombardo at 39% to Ford's 38% amid 17% undecideds, reflecting the razor-thin trader consensus with Democrats at 49.5% implied probability. Nevada's status as a battleground state with split-ticket voting history, Democratic strength in Clark County, and Republican advantages among seniors and rural voters keep the race deadlocked, exacerbated by a generic ballot favoring Democrats 40%-36%. High undecideds and Lombardo's incumbency provide a floor, but separation could emerge from June 9 primaries weeding challengers, national midterm trends, endorsements, or debates on economy and immigration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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