Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 92% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's longstanding GOP dominance—every governor since 1999 has been Republican, with incumbent Jim Pillen securing 59% in 2022 amid a deep-red electorate where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2020. No major candidates have officially announced, leaving Pillen positioned for re-election under Nebraska's two-term limit allowance, while Democrats lack a competitive field or recent polling traction. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days, such as Pillen's potential retirement or a high-profile Democratic recruit, odds remain stable; potential shifters include scandals, health issues, economic downturns, or national midterm wave effects influencing turnout in this low-profile race ahead of 2026 primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
92%
民主党
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 92% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's longstanding GOP dominance—every governor since 1999 has been Republican, with incumbent Jim Pillen securing 59% in 2022 amid a deep-red electorate where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2020. No major candidates have officially announced, leaving Pillen positioned for re-election under Nebraska's two-term limit allowance, while Democrats lack a competitive field or recent polling traction. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days, such as Pillen's potential retirement or a high-profile Democratic recruit, odds remain stable; potential shifters include scandals, health issues, economic downturns, or national midterm wave effects influencing turnout in this low-profile race ahead of 2026 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 92% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's longstanding GOP dominance—every governor since 1999 has been Republican, with incumbent Jim Pillen securing 59% in 2022 amid a deep-red electorate where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2020. No major candidates have officially announced, leaving Pillen positioned for re-election under Nebraska's two-term limit allowance, while Democrats lack a competitive field or recent polling traction. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days, such as Pillen's potential retirement or a high-profile Democratic recruit, odds remain stable; potential shifters include scandals, health issues, economic downturns, or national midterm wave effects influencing turnout in this low-profile race ahead of 2026 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 92% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting the state's longstanding GOP dominance—every governor since 1999 has been Republican, with incumbent Jim Pillen securing 59% in 2022 amid a deep-red electorate where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2020. No major candidates have officially announced, leaving Pillen positioned for re-election under Nebraska's two-term limit allowance, while Democrats lack a competitive field or recent polling traction. Absent notable developments in the past 30 days, such as Pillen's potential retirement or a high-profile Democratic recruit, odds remain stable; potential shifters include scandals, health issues, economic downturns, or national midterm wave effects influencing turnout in this low-profile race ahead of 2026 primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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