House Republicans under Speaker Mike Johnson recently rejected a bipartisan Senate continuing resolution to end a partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, instead passing a short-term funding bill covering most DHS operations but excluding ICE and CBP amid immigration disputes, before entering a two-week spring recess. This fiscal standoff highlights ongoing challenges to Johnson's leadership in a narrow GOP majority, echoing past motions to vacate and internal party divisions. With no recent challenge materialized—despite attendance strains from the 2026 midterm cycle and his district primary opponents—traders price low near-term removal odds (1% by March 31, already resolved no; 7% by June 30), but imply 38% consensus for ouster by December 31, pending post-recess Senate action and further appropriations battles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$97,186 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
7%
2026年12月31日
39%
$97,186 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$2,361 Vol.
7%
2026年12月31日
$1,488 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Republicans under Speaker Mike Johnson recently rejected a bipartisan Senate continuing resolution to end a partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, instead passing a short-term funding bill covering most DHS operations but excluding ICE and CBP amid immigration disputes, before entering a two-week spring recess. This fiscal standoff highlights ongoing challenges to Johnson's leadership in a narrow GOP majority, echoing past motions to vacate and internal party divisions. With no recent challenge materialized—despite attendance strains from the 2026 midterm cycle and his district primary opponents—traders price low near-term removal odds (1% by March 31, already resolved no; 7% by June 30), but imply 38% consensus for ouster by December 31, pending post-recess Senate action and further appropriations battles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
音量
$97,186終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Republicans under Speaker Mike Johnson recently rejected a bipartisan Senate continuing resolution to end a partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, instead passing a short-term funding bill covering most DHS operations but excluding ICE and CBP amid immigration disputes, before entering a two-week spring recess. This fiscal standoff highlights ongoing challenges to Johnson's leadership in a narrow GOP majority, echoing past motions to vacate and internal party divisions. With no recent challenge materialized—despite attendance strains from the 2026 midterm cycle and his district primary opponents—traders price low near-term removal odds (1% by March 31, already resolved no; 7% by June 30), but imply 38% consensus for ouster by December 31, pending post-recess Senate action and further appropriations battles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$97,186終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Republicans under Speaker Mike Johnson recently rejected a bipartisan Senate continuing resolution to end a partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, instead passing a short-term funding bill covering most DHS operations but excluding ICE and CBP amid immigration disputes, before entering a two-week spring recess. This fiscal standoff highlights ongoing challenges to Johnson's leadership in a narrow GOP majority, echoing past motions to vacate and internal party divisions. With no recent challenge materialized—despite attendance strains from the 2026 midterm cycle and his district primary opponents—traders price low near-term removal odds (1% by March 31, already resolved no; 7% by June 30), but imply 38% consensus for ouster by December 31, pending post-recess Senate action and further appropriations battles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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