Amid Cuba's deepening energy crisis and islandwide blackouts in mid-March, President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed ongoing negotiations with the Trump administration, which reportedly demands his removal for progress on sanctions relief and oil access. However, Cuban officials have rejected U.S. preconditions, emphasizing sovereignty, while recent actions like the April 3 announcement of over 2,000 prisoner releases as a humanitarian gesture and Díaz-Canel's meetings with international delegations signal leadership continuity. As First Secretary of the Communist Party and with his presidency elected by the National Assembly of People's Power—showing no procedural moves for early ouster—traders price a 72.5% "No" probability, viewing structural barriers and lack of snap election or resignation signals as outweighing external pressures before June 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$215,697 Vol.
$215,697 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$215,697 Vol.
$215,697 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid Cuba's deepening energy crisis and islandwide blackouts in mid-March, President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed ongoing negotiations with the Trump administration, which reportedly demands his removal for progress on sanctions relief and oil access. However, Cuban officials have rejected U.S. preconditions, emphasizing sovereignty, while recent actions like the April 3 announcement of over 2,000 prisoner releases as a humanitarian gesture and Díaz-Canel's meetings with international delegations signal leadership continuity. As First Secretary of the Communist Party and with his presidency elected by the National Assembly of People's Power—showing no procedural moves for early ouster—traders price a 72.5% "No" probability, viewing structural barriers and lack of snap election or resignation signals as outweighing external pressures before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
音量
$215,697終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid Cuba's deepening energy crisis and islandwide blackouts in mid-March, President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed ongoing negotiations with the Trump administration, which reportedly demands his removal for progress on sanctions relief and oil access. However, Cuban officials have rejected U.S. preconditions, emphasizing sovereignty, while recent actions like the April 3 announcement of over 2,000 prisoner releases as a humanitarian gesture and Díaz-Canel's meetings with international delegations signal leadership continuity. As First Secretary of the Communist Party and with his presidency elected by the National Assembly of People's Power—showing no procedural moves for early ouster—traders price a 72.5% "No" probability, viewing structural barriers and lack of snap election or resignation signals as outweighing external pressures before June 30.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$215,697終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid Cuba's deepening energy crisis and islandwide blackouts in mid-March, President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed ongoing negotiations with the Trump administration, which reportedly demands his removal for progress on sanctions relief and oil access. However, Cuban officials have rejected U.S. preconditions, emphasizing sovereignty, while recent actions like the April 3 announcement of over 2,000 prisoner releases as a humanitarian gesture and Díaz-Canel's meetings with international delegations signal leadership continuity. As First Secretary of the Communist Party and with his presidency elected by the National Assembly of People's Power—showing no procedural moves for early ouster—traders price a 72.5% "No" probability, viewing structural barriers and lack of snap election or resignation signals as outweighing external pressures before June 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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