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Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Market icon

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$240,621 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$240,621 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$240,621
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$240,621
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?" has generated $240.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.