Trader consensus reflects a 77.5% implied probability for "No" on Nicolás Maduro being found guilty of all counts in his Southern District of New York narcoterrorism prosecution, driven by pre-trial procedural hurdles and defense challenges rather than trial evidence. Captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, alongside wife Cilia Flores—who also pleaded not guilty—Maduro faces four felony charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and weapons possession, unsealed in a superseding indictment. In a March 26 hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected a motion to dismiss but questioned U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for legal fees, potentially violating due process rights. Historical narcoterrorism cases saw two of four initial convictions overturned over witness issues, heightening uncertainty ahead of any trial date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$101,438 Vol.
$101,438 Vol.
2027/12/31
はい
$101,438 Vol.
$101,438 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 77.5% implied probability for "No" on Nicolás Maduro being found guilty of all counts in his Southern District of New York narcoterrorism prosecution, driven by pre-trial procedural hurdles and defense challenges rather than trial evidence. Captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, alongside wife Cilia Flores—who also pleaded not guilty—Maduro faces four felony charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and weapons possession, unsealed in a superseding indictment. In a March 26 hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected a motion to dismiss but questioned U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for legal fees, potentially violating due process rights. Historical narcoterrorism cases saw two of four initial convictions overturned over witness issues, heightening uncertainty ahead of any trial date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
音量
$101,438終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 77.5% implied probability for "No" on Nicolás Maduro being found guilty of all counts in his Southern District of New York narcoterrorism prosecution, driven by pre-trial procedural hurdles and defense challenges rather than trial evidence. Captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, alongside wife Cilia Flores—who also pleaded not guilty—Maduro faces four felony charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and weapons possession, unsealed in a superseding indictment. In a March 26 hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected a motion to dismiss but questioned U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for legal fees, potentially violating due process rights. Historical narcoterrorism cases saw two of four initial convictions overturned over witness issues, heightening uncertainty ahead of any trial date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$101,438終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 77.5% implied probability for "No" on Nicolás Maduro being found guilty of all counts in his Southern District of New York narcoterrorism prosecution, driven by pre-trial procedural hurdles and defense challenges rather than trial evidence. Captured by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, alongside wife Cilia Flores—who also pleaded not guilty—Maduro faces four felony charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and weapons possession, unsealed in a superseding indictment. In a March 26 hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected a motion to dismiss but questioned U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for legal fees, potentially violating due process rights. Historical narcoterrorism cases saw two of four initial convictions overturned over witness issues, heightening uncertainty ahead of any trial date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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