Skip to main content
icon for When will the DHS shutdown end?
政治·報酬200、4.5、20

When will the DHS shutdown end?

icon for When will the DHS shutdown end?
政治·報酬200、4.5、20

When will the DHS shutdown end?

4月 30

7月 31

4月 30

7月 31

May 18-24 32%

April 27-May 3 14.9%

After July 31 13%

May 11-17 12.0%

Polymarket

$20,860 Vol.

May 18-24 32%

April 27-May 3 14.9%

After July 31 13%

May 11-17 12.0%

Polymarket

$20,860 Vol.

April 20-26

$11,567 Vol.

<1%

April 27-May 3

$987 Vol.

15%

May 4-10

$228 Vol.

2%

May 11-17

$826 Vol.

12%

May 18-24

$2,536 Vol.

32%

May 25-31

$169 Vol.

10%

June 1-7

$154 Vol.

6%

June 8-14

$346 Vol.

2%

June 15-21

$612 Vol.

1%

June 22-28

$414 Vol.

2%

June 29-July 5

$233 Vol.

2%

July 6-12

$232 Vol.

2%

July 13-19

$332 Vol.

3%

July 20-26

$276 Vol.

3%

July 27-31

$295 Vol.

3%

After July 31

$356 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security funding lapse, now in its 73rd day since February 14, stems from a partisan impasse over appropriations levels for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection amid post-January reform demands following fatal shootings by federal agents. Senate Republicans advanced a budget reconciliation measure on April 22-23 to fund immigration enforcement separately, but House GOP members rejected the narrow approach without comprehensive DHS coverage, blocking floor votes despite Speaker Johnson's push. DHS payroll reserves are projected to exhaust after early May's first pay period, pressuring lawmakers toward a continuing resolution; traders favor May 18-24 at 31.5% implied probability as a post-crisis compromise window, ahead of nearer bins lacking whip counts or April 27 Senate reconvening momentum, while after-July odds reflect prolonged standoff risks if reconciliation fails.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$20,860
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てウィンドウ

最終

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security funding lapse, now in its 73rd day since February 14, stems from a partisan impasse over appropriations levels for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection amid post-January reform demands following fatal shootings by federal agents. Senate Republicans advanced a budget reconciliation measure on April 22-23 to fund immigration enforcement separately, but House GOP members rejected the narrow approach without comprehensive DHS coverage, blocking floor votes despite Speaker Johnson's push. DHS payroll reserves are projected to exhaust after early May's first pay period, pressuring lawmakers toward a continuing resolution; traders favor May 18-24 at 31.5% implied probability as a post-crisis compromise window, ahead of nearer bins lacking whip counts or April 27 Senate reconvening momentum, while after-July odds reflect prolonged standoff risks if reconciliation fails.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$20,860
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てウィンドウ

最終

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「When will the DHS shutdown end?」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「May 18-24」で32%、次いで「April 27-May 3」が15%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、32¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に32%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「When will the DHS shutdown end?」は$20.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「When will the DHS shutdown end?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「When will the DHS shutdown end?」の現在のフロントランナーは「May 18-24」で32%であり、市場がこの結果に32%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「April 27-May 3」で15%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「When will the DHS shutdown end?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。