The entrenched statutory foundation of the Federal Reserve under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act, paired with stalled legislative efforts such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act introduced in March 2025, underpins the 97.2% market-implied probability against formal abolition before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and ongoing monetary policy operations, including inflation targeting and labor market oversight, reflect broad institutional continuity across Congress and the executive branch, with no viable repeal pathway advancing. Trader consensus reflects the multi-step bicameral requirements and decades of precedent favoring the central bank's role in setting the federal funds rate. Tail-risk scenarios, such as an acute financial crisis or unprecedented political realignment enabling override of established frameworks, remain remote and are already incorporated into current pricing given limited momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
はい
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The entrenched statutory foundation of the Federal Reserve under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act, paired with stalled legislative efforts such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act introduced in March 2025, underpins the 97.2% market-implied probability against formal abolition before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and ongoing monetary policy operations, including inflation targeting and labor market oversight, reflect broad institutional continuity across Congress and the executive branch, with no viable repeal pathway advancing. Trader consensus reflects the multi-step bicameral requirements and decades of precedent favoring the central bank's role in setting the federal funds rate. Tail-risk scenarios, such as an acute financial crisis or unprecedented political realignment enabling override of established frameworks, remain remote and are already incorporated into current pricing given limited momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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