President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 6-12, 2026, occurred amid escalating US-Iran tensions, including failed peace talks in Pakistan and his April 12 announcement of a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade following 21 hours of unsuccessful negotiations. Traders weighed his pattern of direct commentary on foreign policy adversaries, military operations alongside Israel against Iran's axis, and critiques of European energy policies causing blackouts from renewables, as seen in reposted posts emphasizing border security and self-reliance. An April 6 press conference set the week's tone on administration priorities, with no major domestic catalysts; market consensus reflected his historical use of the platform for real-time geopolitical signaling during active conflicts, though specific phrasing like "MIGA" or "paper tiger" remained uncertain until posts materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$4,955,855 Vol.
2026/04/12
Ass / Shit
No
Hell
Yes
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
No
Artemis / Orion
Yes
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA
No
Paper Tiger
No
Keir / Starmer
No
Bully of the Middle East
No
Filibuster
No
NATO
Yes
Ballroom
No
Peace Through Strength
Yes
Panican
No
Epic Fury
Yes
Free Tina Peters
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
Yes
Invasion
No
Peter / Magyar
No
Pam / Bondi
No
Trump
Yes
JD / Vance
Yes
Hungary
Yes
$4,955,855 Vol.
Ass / Shit
$9,066 Vol.
No
Hell
$1,816 Vol.
Yes
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
$13,647 Vol.
No
Artemis / Orion
$774 Vol.
Yes
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA
$4,635,708 Vol.
No
Paper Tiger
$8,510 Vol.
No
Keir / Starmer
$1,853 Vol.
No
Bully of the Middle East
$5,741 Vol.
No
Filibuster
$7,040 Vol.
No
NATO
$534 Vol.
Yes
Ballroom
$220,237 Vol.
No
Peace Through Strength
$61 Vol.
Yes
Panican
$8,749 Vol.
No
Epic Fury
$2,049 Vol.
Yes
Free Tina Peters
$7,803 Vol.
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$2,959 Vol.
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
$12,200 Vol.
Yes
Invasion
$6,736 Vol.
No
Peter / Magyar
$2,697 Vol.
No
Pam / Bondi
$1,275 Vol.
No
Trump
$231 Vol.
Yes
JD / Vance
$5,470 Vol.
Yes
Hungary
$700 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 6-12, 2026, occurred amid escalating US-Iran tensions, including failed peace talks in Pakistan and his April 12 announcement of a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade following 21 hours of unsuccessful negotiations. Traders weighed his pattern of direct commentary on foreign policy adversaries, military operations alongside Israel against Iran's axis, and critiques of European energy policies causing blackouts from renewables, as seen in reposted posts emphasizing border security and self-reliance. An April 6 press conference set the week's tone on administration priorities, with no major domestic catalysts; market consensus reflected his historical use of the platform for real-time geopolitical signaling during active conflicts, though specific phrasing like "MIGA" or "paper tiger" remained uncertain until posts materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
音量
$4,955,855終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 6-12, 2026, occurred amid escalating US-Iran tensions, including failed peace talks in Pakistan and his April 12 announcement of a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade following 21 hours of unsuccessful negotiations. Traders weighed his pattern of direct commentary on foreign policy adversaries, military operations alongside Israel against Iran's axis, and critiques of European energy policies causing blackouts from renewables, as seen in reposted posts emphasizing border security and self-reliance. An April 6 press conference set the week's tone on administration priorities, with no major domestic catalysts; market consensus reflected his historical use of the platform for real-time geopolitical signaling during active conflicts, though specific phrasing like "MIGA" or "paper tiger" remained uncertain until posts materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
音量
$4,955,855終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 6-12, 2026, occurred amid escalating US-Iran tensions, including failed peace talks in Pakistan and his April 12 announcement of a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade following 21 hours of unsuccessful negotiations. Traders weighed his pattern of direct commentary on foreign policy adversaries, military operations alongside Israel against Iran's axis, and critiques of European energy policies causing blackouts from renewables, as seen in reposted posts emphasizing border security and self-reliance. An April 6 press conference set the week's tone on administration priorities, with no major domestic catalysts; market consensus reflected his historical use of the platform for real-time geopolitical signaling during active conflicts, though specific phrasing like "MIGA" or "paper tiger" remained uncertain until posts materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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