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政治·トランプ

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

Market icon
政治·トランプ

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

新規
2026/04/08
Polymarket

$2,778 Vol.

Polymarket

Hungary / Hungarian 8+ times

$1,006 Vol.

75%

Russia / Ukraine 6+ times

$123 Vol.

45%

Biden 5+ times

$756 Vol.

13%

Viktor / Orbán 4+ times

$154 Vol.

68%

Election 4+ times

$133 Vol.

30%

God 3+ times

$108 Vol.

42%

Oil 2+ times

$13 Vol.

76%

Crazy

$54 Vol.

36%

Venezuela

$50 Vol.

30%

Trump

$205 Vol.

88%

Slovakia

$0 Vol.

36%

Nuclear

$49 Vol.

54%

Rigged

$21 Vol.

30%

EU / European Union

$105 Vol.

86%

JD Vance is scheduled to participate in meetings with the Prime Minister of Hungary on April 7 and April 8, 2026 (see https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZfTJz7tbvGgwHLCAGU7b). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, on April 7 and April 8, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both JD Vance and Viktor Orbán. All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.U.S. Vice President JD Vance's bilateral meetings with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, set for April 7-8, 2026, in Budapest, are fueling trader consensus on supportive rhetoric just days before Hungary's parliamentary elections on April 12. Announced in late March amid polls showing Orbán's Fidesz facing its toughest challenge from Péter Magyar's rising Tisza party, the visit signals Trump administration alignment with Orbán's nationalist stance on sovereignty, EU relations, and Ukraine aid skepticism. Markets price high odds (80%+) for frequent mentions of Hungary (8+ times), Orbán (4+), Trump, and EU critiques, reflecting expectations of praise over criticism; lower probabilities (under 50%) attach to Biden, election, or Russia/Ukraine references, given the diplomatic focus. Resolution hinges on live video transcripts from joint events.

JD Vance is scheduled to participate in meetings with the Prime Minister of Hungary on April 7 and April 8, 2026 (see https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZfTJz7tbvGgwHLCAGU7b).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, on April 7 and April 8, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both JD Vance and Viktor Orbán. All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
音量
$2,778
終了日
2026/04/08
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
JD Vance is scheduled to participate in meetings with the Prime Minister of Hungary on April 7 and April 8, 2026 (see https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZfTJz7tbvGgwHLCAGU7b). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, on April 7 and April 8, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both JD Vance and Viktor Orbán. All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
JD Vance is scheduled to participate in meetings with the Prime Minister of Hungary on April 7 and April 8, 2026 (see https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZfTJz7tbvGgwHLCAGU7b). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, on April 7 and April 8, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both JD Vance and Viktor Orbán. All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.U.S. Vice President JD Vance's bilateral meetings with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, set for April 7-8, 2026, in Budapest, are fueling trader consensus on supportive rhetoric just days before Hungary's parliamentary elections on April 12. Announced in late March amid polls showing Orbán's Fidesz facing its toughest challenge from Péter Magyar's rising Tisza party, the visit signals Trump administration alignment with Orbán's nationalist stance on sovereignty, EU relations, and Ukraine aid skepticism. Markets price high odds (80%+) for frequent mentions of Hungary (8+ times), Orbán (4+), Trump, and EU critiques, reflecting expectations of praise over criticism; lower probabilities (under 50%) attach to Biden, election, or Russia/Ukraine references, given the diplomatic focus. Resolution hinges on live video transcripts from joint events.

JD Vance is scheduled to participate in meetings with the Prime Minister of Hungary on April 7 and April 8, 2026 (see https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZfTJz7tbvGgwHLCAGU7b).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, on April 7 and April 8, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both JD Vance and Viktor Orbán. All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
音量
$2,778
終了日
2026/04/08
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
JD Vance is scheduled to participate in meetings with the Prime Minister of Hungary on April 7 and April 8, 2026 (see https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZfTJz7tbvGgwHLCAGU7b). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, on April 7 and April 8, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both JD Vance and Viktor Orbán. All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

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よくある質問

「What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán? 」はPolymarket上の14個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Trump」で88%、次いで「EU / European Union」が86%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、88¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に88%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán? 」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 3, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán? 」の現在のフロントランナーは「Trump」で88%であり、市場がこの結果に88%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「EU / European Union」で86%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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