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カンザス州知事民主党予備選

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カンザス州知事民主党予備選

イーサン・コーソン 71%

シンディ・ホルシャー 29%

マーティ・トゥーリー 1.0%

Polymarket

$52,223 Vol.

イーサン・コーソン 71%

シンディ・ホルシャー 29%

マーティ・トゥーリー 1.0%

Polymarket

$52,223 Vol.

イーサン・コーソン

$1,284 Vol.

71%

シンディ・ホルシャー

$1,587 Vol.

29%

マーティ・トゥーリー

$49,352 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Ethan Corson's dominant 70.5% implied probability in the Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects his superior fundraising—over $900,000 raised in 2025 with substantial cash reserves—and high-profile endorsements from Gov. Laura Kelly, former Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, organized labor, and Planned Parenthood Great Plains on March 23, bolstering his organizational edge in a low-turnout August 4 contest. State Sen. Cindy Holscher trails at 28.5% on grassroots support and over 150 local endorsements, highlighted in the March 8 party convention debate emphasizing affordability, Medicaid expansion, and rural health care, though her campaign poll showed early leads amid high undecideds. Marty Tuley lingers at 0.7% as a longshot. Late March market volatility, including a sharp Corson dip on March 31 amid unsubstantiated challenger rumors, has since reversed amid thin liquidity, underscoring trader confidence in Corson's infrastructure ahead of the June 1 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$52,223
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Ethan Corson's dominant 70.5% implied probability in the Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects his superior fundraising—over $900,000 raised in 2025 with substantial cash reserves—and high-profile endorsements from Gov. Laura Kelly, former Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, organized labor, and Planned Parenthood Great Plains on March 23, bolstering his organizational edge in a low-turnout August 4 contest. State Sen. Cindy Holscher trails at 28.5% on grassroots support and over 150 local endorsements, highlighted in the March 8 party convention debate emphasizing affordability, Medicaid expansion, and rural health care, though her campaign poll showed early leads amid high undecideds. Marty Tuley lingers at 0.7% as a longshot. Late March market volatility, including a sharp Corson dip on March 31 amid unsubstantiated challenger rumors, has since reversed amid thin liquidity, underscoring trader confidence in Corson's infrastructure ahead of the June 1 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$52,223
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「カンザス州知事民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「イーサン・コーソン」で71%、次いで「シンディ・ホルシャー」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、71¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に71%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カンザス州知事民主党予備選」は$52.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 11, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「カンザス州知事民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「カンザス州知事民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「イーサン・コーソン」で71%であり、市場がこの結果に71%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「シンディ・ホルシャー」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カンザス州知事民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。