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世界·イスラエル

イスラエル議会は...によって解散されましたか？

Market icon
世界·イスラエル

イスラエル議会は...によって解散されましたか？

$848,527 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$848,527 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$655,107 Vol.

<1%

6月30日

$110,111 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, holding a slim 64-seat majority amid escalating internal pressures that fuel speculation on early dissolution. In the past 30 days, opposition-led no-confidence motions against the government failed in late November 2024, while haredi parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas reiterated threats to bolt over stalled ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions and budget disputes tied to the Gaza war. Multiple snap election bills tabled by figures like Yair Lapid seek polls by March 2025 but lack the 61 MK votes required, blocked by coalition unity. Upcoming winter session votes on dissolution proposals and the draft bill could tip the balance toward collapse or stability.

Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, holding a slim 64-seat majority amid escalating internal pressures that fuel speculation on early dissolution. In the past 30 days, opposition-led no-confidence motions against the government failed in late November 2024, while haredi parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas reiterated threats to bolt over stalled ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions and budget disputes tied to the Gaza war. Multiple snap election bills tabled by figures like Yair Lapid seek polls by March 2025 but lack the 61 MK votes required, blocked by coalition unity. Upcoming winter session votes on dissolution proposals and the draft bill could tip the balance toward collapse or stability.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, holding a slim 64-seat majority amid escalating internal pressures that fuel speculation on early dissolution. In the past 30 days, opposition-led no-confidence motions against the government failed in late November 2024, while haredi parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas reiterated threats to bolt over stalled ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions and budget disputes tied to the Gaza war. Multiple snap election bills tabled by figures like Yair Lapid seek polls by March 2025 but lack the 61 MK votes required, blocked by coalition unity. Upcoming winter session votes on dissolution proposals and the draft bill could tip the balance toward collapse or stability.

Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, holding a slim 64-seat majority amid escalating internal pressures that fuel speculation on early dissolution. In the past 30 days, opposition-led no-confidence motions against the government failed in late November 2024, while haredi parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas reiterated threats to bolt over stalled ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions and budget disputes tied to the Gaza war. Multiple snap election bills tabled by figures like Yair Lapid seek polls by March 2025 but lack the 61 MK votes required, blocked by coalition unity. Upcoming winter session votes on dissolution proposals and the draft bill could tip the balance toward collapse or stability.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「イスラエル議会は...によって解散されましたか？」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で26%、次いで「3月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、26¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に26%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イスラエル議会は...によって解散されましたか？」は$848.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Sep 3, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イスラエル議会は...によって解散されましたか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イスラエル議会は...によって解散されましたか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月30日」で26%であり、市場がこの結果に26%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イスラエル議会は...によって解散されましたか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。