Environment Canada’s latest forecast projects a high near 13°C for Toronto on April 9 under partly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers, yet trader consensus prices an 51.5% implied probability for 8°C or below, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range models amid recent chilly conditions—temperatures stalling near 3°C with heavy rain and easterly winds over the past 48 hours. Climatological normals hover at 9°C maximum for early April, bolstered by long-range signals like cooler air masses in Almanac projections for April 9-15 and ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs showing variable cold advection from northern latitudes and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. New forecast updates from Environment Canada on April 6-8, incorporating fresh observational data, will likely drive further market shifts as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月9日のトロントの最高気温は？
4月9日のトロントの最高気温は？
18℃以上 47%
17°C 30%
14°C 30%
15℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/04/09
8°C以下
7%
9℃
16%
10℃
23%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13℃
25%
14°C
30%
15℃
30%
16℃
30%
17°C
30%
18℃以上
47%
18℃以上 47%
17°C 30%
14°C 30%
15℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/04/09
8°C以下
$5 Vol.
7%
9℃
$5 Vol.
16%
10℃
$5 Vol.
23%
11°C
$5 Vol.
23%
12°C
$5 Vol.
23%
13℃
$5 Vol.
25%
14°C
$5 Vol.
30%
15℃
$5 Vol.
30%
16℃
$5 Vol.
30%
17°C
$5 Vol.
30%
18℃以上
$9 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada’s latest forecast projects a high near 13°C for Toronto on April 9 under partly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers, yet trader consensus prices an 51.5% implied probability for 8°C or below, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range models amid recent chilly conditions—temperatures stalling near 3°C with heavy rain and easterly winds over the past 48 hours. Climatological normals hover at 9°C maximum for early April, bolstered by long-range signals like cooler air masses in Almanac projections for April 9-15 and ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs showing variable cold advection from northern latitudes and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. New forecast updates from Environment Canada on April 6-8, incorporating fresh observational data, will likely drive further market shifts as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 5, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$4終了日
2026/04/09マーケット開始日
Apr 5, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada’s latest forecast projects a high near 13°C for Toronto on April 9 under partly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers, yet trader consensus prices an 51.5% implied probability for 8°C or below, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range models amid recent chilly conditions—temperatures stalling near 3°C with heavy rain and easterly winds over the past 48 hours. Climatological normals hover at 9°C maximum for early April, bolstered by long-range signals like cooler air masses in Almanac projections for April 9-15 and ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs showing variable cold advection from northern latitudes and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. New forecast updates from Environment Canada on April 6-8, incorporating fresh observational data, will likely drive further market shifts as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4終了日
2026/04/09マーケット開始日
Apr 5, 2026, 12:09 AM ETEnvironment Canada’s latest forecast projects a high near 13°C for Toronto on April 9 under partly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers, yet trader consensus prices an 51.5% implied probability for 8°C or below, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range models amid recent chilly conditions—temperatures stalling near 3°C with heavy rain and easterly winds over the past 48 hours. Climatological normals hover at 9°C maximum for early April, bolstered by long-range signals like cooler air masses in Almanac projections for April 9-15 and ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs showing variable cold advection from northern latitudes and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. New forecast updates from Environment Canada on April 6-8, incorporating fresh observational data, will likely drive further market shifts as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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