Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$226,711 Vol.
$226,711 Vol.
2026/04/01
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$226,711 Vol.
$226,711 Vol.
2026/04/01
21°C or below
$28,573 Vol.
No
22°C
$15,846 Vol.
No
23°C
$27,044 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,479 Vol.
No
25°C
$29,375 Vol.
No
26°C
$29,055 Vol.
No
27°C
$18,061 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$21,860 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,854 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,759 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$10,805 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
音量
$226,711終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$226,711終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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