Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Buenos Aires highs of 28-31°C on March 29, driving trader consensus toward closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (25.5%), 30°C (22%), and 28°C (19.5%), as a persistent upper-level ridge over southern South America advects warm, subsident continental air into the region. This setup favors above-climatological March average highs of 24-26°C, with minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing solar heating, though model spread reflects uncertainty from potential sea breeze incursions or slight trough perturbations moderating peaks. Differentiating factors include ensemble mean timing of maximum temperature and boundary layer mixing variations. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and hourly observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport today, ahead of resolution based on the official peak reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
29°C 26%
30°C 22%
28°C 20%
27°C 12.7%
$42,311 Vol.
$42,311 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
20%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 26%
30°C 22%
28°C 20%
27°C 12.7%
$42,311 Vol.
$42,311 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
20%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Buenos Aires highs of 28-31°C on March 29, driving trader consensus toward closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (25.5%), 30°C (22%), and 28°C (19.5%), as a persistent upper-level ridge over southern South America advects warm, subsident continental air into the region. This setup favors above-climatological March average highs of 24-26°C, with minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing solar heating, though model spread reflects uncertainty from potential sea breeze incursions or slight trough perturbations moderating peaks. Differentiating factors include ensemble mean timing of maximum temperature and boundary layer mixing variations. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and hourly observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport today, ahead of resolution based on the official peak reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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