Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA peg Miami's high temperature on March 28 at around 83°F, driving trader consensus toward the 82-83°F bin at 36.5% implied probability, as high-pressure ridging builds over Florida to deliver warmer southerly flow and suppress sea-breeze cooling. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement within ±2°F of this range, reflecting yesterday's observed 81°F high and minimal cold-front intrusion risk through month's end. Climatologically, March averages hover near 80°F, but neutral ENSO conditions and recent warmup trends bolster mid-80s potential. Watch for the 8 PM ET NWS update, which could refine probabilities amid typical 2-3°F forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月28日のマイアミの最高気温は?
3月28日のマイアミの最高気温は?
82〜83°F 37%
84~85°F 25%
80~81°F 17%
86~87°F 14%
73°F以下
2%
74~75°F
4%
76〜77°F
2%
78〜79°F
10%
80~81°F
17%
82〜83°F
37%
84~85°F
25%
86~87°F
14%
88~89°F
3%
90~91°F
2%
92°F以上
<1%
82〜83°F 37%
84~85°F 25%
80~81°F 17%
86~87°F 14%
73°F以下
2%
74~75°F
4%
76〜77°F
2%
78〜79°F
10%
80~81°F
17%
82〜83°F
37%
84~85°F
25%
86~87°F
14%
88~89°F
3%
90~91°F
2%
92°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA peg Miami's high temperature on March 28 at around 83°F, driving trader consensus toward the 82-83°F bin at 36.5% implied probability, as high-pressure ridging builds over Florida to deliver warmer southerly flow and suppress sea-breeze cooling. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement within ±2°F of this range, reflecting yesterday's observed 81°F high and minimal cold-front intrusion risk through month's end. Climatologically, March averages hover near 80°F, but neutral ENSO conditions and recent warmup trends bolster mid-80s potential. Watch for the 8 PM ET NWS update, which could refine probabilities amid typical 2-3°F forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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