Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 34°C (31%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 28 by a slim margin over 33°C (28.5%) and 32°C or below (23.5%), capturing short-term forecast uncertainty during the region's late-March pre-monsoon warmup. Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF project peaks of 33-35°C under predominantly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity accelerating daytime heating from recent highs around 32°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping temps at 33°C or below versus sustained solar insolation pushing to 34°C, with dry soils enhancing heat buildup. New IMD updates and satellite observations tomorrow could shift model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 30%
32°C or below 29%
34°C 29%
35°C 7%
32°C or below
29%
33°C
30%
34°C
29%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
33°C 30%
32°C or below 29%
34°C 29%
35°C 7%
32°C or below
29%
33°C
30%
34°C
29%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 34°C (31%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 28 by a slim margin over 33°C (28.5%) and 32°C or below (23.5%), capturing short-term forecast uncertainty during the region's late-March pre-monsoon warmup. Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF project peaks of 33-35°C under predominantly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity accelerating daytime heating from recent highs around 32°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping temps at 33°C or below versus sustained solar insolation pushing to 34°C, with dry soils enhancing heat buildup. New IMD updates and satellite observations tomorrow could shift model consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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