IMD forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature of around 34°C in Lucknow on March 29, driving trader sentiment toward "34°C or below" at 40% implied probability, with 35°C close behind at 24%. Recent observations show daytime highs stabilizing in the low-to-mid 30s amid clear skies, dry northerly winds, and rising solar insolation typical of the pre-monsoon transition, following March 27's recorded 35.2°C peak. Lucknow's urban heat island effect and historical March climatological normals of 32–35°C support this positioning, though minor uncertainties in boundary layer mixing could nudge outcomes higher. Traders await the final IMD advisory later today for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のラクナウの最高気温は?
3月29日のラクナウの最高気温は?
34℃以下 40%
35°C 24%
36℃ 22%
37℃ 11%
34℃以下
40%
35°C
24%
36℃
22%
37℃
11%
38℃
7%
39°C
6%
40℃
3%
41℃
3%
42°C
3%
43℃
2%
44℃以上
<1%
34℃以下 40%
35°C 24%
36℃ 22%
37℃ 11%
34℃以下
40%
35°C
24%
36℃
22%
37℃
11%
38℃
7%
39°C
6%
40℃
3%
41℃
3%
42°C
3%
43℃
2%
44℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...IMD forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature of around 34°C in Lucknow on March 29, driving trader sentiment toward "34°C or below" at 40% implied probability, with 35°C close behind at 24%. Recent observations show daytime highs stabilizing in the low-to-mid 30s amid clear skies, dry northerly winds, and rising solar insolation typical of the pre-monsoon transition, following March 27's recorded 35.2°C peak. Lucknow's urban heat island effect and historical March climatological normals of 32–35°C support this positioning, though minor uncertainties in boundary layer mixing could nudge outcomes higher. Traders await the final IMD advisory later today for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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