Trader consensus on Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26 reflects a razor-thin split among 35°C (31%), 34°C or below (30%), and 36°C (29.5%), driven primarily by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast ensemble averaging 35.2°C amid rising pre-monsoon heat. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from western disturbances, which could cap peaks at 34°C by reducing insolation, versus clearer skies and dry northerly winds pushing toward 36°C via enhanced adiabatic warming. Historical March maxima in Lucknow hover around 33-35°C, but soil moisture deficits from recent dry spells amplify daytime highs, with model divergence—GFS leaning hotter, ECMWF cooler—fueling the uncertainty as final observations near.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 31%
34°C or below 30%
36°C 30%
37°C 6%
34°C or below
30%
35°C
31%
36°C
30%
37°C
6%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
35°C 31%
34°C or below 30%
36°C 30%
37°C 6%
34°C or below
30%
35°C
31%
36°C
30%
37°C
6%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26 reflects a razor-thin split among 35°C (31%), 34°C or below (30%), and 36°C (29.5%), driven primarily by the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast ensemble averaging 35.2°C amid rising pre-monsoon heat. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from western disturbances, which could cap peaks at 34°C by reducing insolation, versus clearer skies and dry northerly winds pushing toward 36°C via enhanced adiabatic warming. Historical March maxima in Lucknow hover around 33-35°C, but soil moisture deficits from recent dry spells amplify daytime highs, with model divergence—GFS leaning hotter, ECMWF cooler—fueling the uncertainty as final observations near.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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