Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Buenos Aires' March 27 maximum temperature clustering tightly between 26-28°C, fueling the razor-thin trader odds favoring 27°C (21.5%) and 26°C (20.5%) amid low-confidence model spread. These align with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance anticipating partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping peaks below 29°C, contrasting historical late-March averages of 27°C with occasional spikes from heat advection. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective potential—favoring cooler 26°C if seabreeze strengthens—or prolonged insolation pushing 28°C, per 12Z runs; 00Z updates tonight may resolve trader splits as diurnal heating thresholds emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
27°C 22%
26°C 21%
28°C 18%
29°C 14%
23°C or below
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
21%
27°C
22%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
4%
27°C 22%
26°C 21%
28°C 18%
29°C 14%
23°C or below
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
21%
27°C
22%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Buenos Aires' March 27 maximum temperature clustering tightly between 26-28°C, fueling the razor-thin trader odds favoring 27°C (21.5%) and 26°C (20.5%) amid low-confidence model spread. These align with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance anticipating partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping peaks below 29°C, contrasting historical late-March averages of 27°C with occasional spikes from heat advection. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective potential—favoring cooler 26°C if seabreeze strengthens—or prolonged insolation pushing 28°C, per 12Z runs; 00Z updates tonight may resolve trader splits as diurnal heating thresholds emerge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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