Latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF position a high of 76-77°F as the leading outcome for Atlanta on March 23, with 37.5% implied probability, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying southerly flow and warm advection ahead of an approaching front. Recent 00Z model updates show consensus tightening around mid-to-upper 70s peaks, up from earlier cooler biases, reflecting observed warm anomalies in recent days and soil moisture deficits favoring rapid daytime heating. Historical March 23 highs average 66°F but have exceeded 75°F in 30% of similar ridge setups, while lower probabilities for 80°F+ stem from increasing cloud cover risks per short-fuse HRRR outputs. Traders eye afternoon soundings for final convective potential.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
76-77°F 41%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
$10,081 Vol.
$10,081 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 41%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
$10,081 Vol.
$10,081 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF position a high of 76-77°F as the leading outcome for Atlanta on March 23, with 37.5% implied probability, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying southerly flow and warm advection ahead of an approaching front. Recent 00Z model updates show consensus tightening around mid-to-upper 70s peaks, up from earlier cooler biases, reflecting observed warm anomalies in recent days and soil moisture deficits favoring rapid daytime heating. Historical March 23 highs average 66°F but have exceeded 75°F in 30% of similar ridge setups, while lower probabilities for 80°F+ stem from increasing cloud cover risks per short-fuse HRRR outputs. Traders eye afternoon soundings for final convective potential.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問