Latest NOAA National Weather Service forecasts pinpoint Seattle's March 23 high temperature in the 50-53°F range under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and lingering marine influence, driving the tight race between 50-51°F (35.5% implied probability) and 52-53°F (32.5%). Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show means around 52°F, but subtle divergences arise from morning stratus cloud timing—persistent low clouds cap peaks at 50-51°F by limiting solar insolation, while earlier clearing allows 1-2°F extra diurnal heating into the low 52s. Historical March 23 norms average 54°F, but this year's cooler Pacific blob anomaly tempers upside; traders eye 18z model updates for inversion erosion as the differentiator.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月23日のシアトルの最高気温は?
3月23日のシアトルの最高気温は?
50〜51°F 36%
52~53°F 33%
48~49°F 17%
54〜55°F 9%
41°F以下
1%
42〜43°F
1%
44〜45°F
2%
46~47°F
5%
48~49°F
17%
50〜51°F
36%
52~53°F
33%
54〜55°F
9%
56~57°F
6%
58~59°F
2%
華氏60度以上
<1%
50〜51°F 36%
52~53°F 33%
48~49°F 17%
54〜55°F 9%
41°F以下
1%
42〜43°F
1%
44〜45°F
2%
46~47°F
5%
48~49°F
17%
50〜51°F
36%
52~53°F
33%
54〜55°F
9%
56~57°F
6%
58~59°F
2%
華氏60度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA National Weather Service forecasts pinpoint Seattle's March 23 high temperature in the 50-53°F range under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and lingering marine influence, driving the tight race between 50-51°F (35.5% implied probability) and 52-53°F (32.5%). Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show means around 52°F, but subtle divergences arise from morning stratus cloud timing—persistent low clouds cap peaks at 50-51°F by limiting solar insolation, while earlier clearing allows 1-2°F extra diurnal heating into the low 52s. Historical March 23 norms average 54°F, but this year's cooler Pacific blob anomaly tempers upside; traders eye 18z model updates for inversion erosion as the differentiator.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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