Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 8–10°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON (DWD), and GFS models converging on a mean near 9°C after recent cold air advection from the north. This differentiates leaders from cooler 7°C (13.5%) odds, where outlier ensemble members account for potential persistent cloud cover delaying diurnal heating, and warmer 11–12°C (16%) via optimistic clear-sky scenarios boosting insolation. Late-March climatology averages 11°C highs, but current jet stream positioning favors subdued highs absent strong high-pressure ridging; upcoming 00Z model runs could shift probabilities if boundary layer mixing varies. Uncertainty stems from 1–2°C model spread typical for 1–2 day leads.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月28日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
3月28日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
8℃ 26%
9℃ 22%
10℃ 17%
7°C 15%
5°C以下
7%
6°C
5%
7°C
15%
8℃
26%
9℃
22%
10℃
17%
11℃
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
5%
14℃
5%
15℃以上
2%
8℃ 26%
9℃ 22%
10℃ 17%
7°C 15%
5°C以下
7%
6°C
5%
7°C
15%
8℃
26%
9℃
22%
10℃
17%
11℃
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
5%
14℃
5%
15℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 8–10°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON (DWD), and GFS models converging on a mean near 9°C after recent cold air advection from the north. This differentiates leaders from cooler 7°C (13.5%) odds, where outlier ensemble members account for potential persistent cloud cover delaying diurnal heating, and warmer 11–12°C (16%) via optimistic clear-sky scenarios boosting insolation. Late-March climatology averages 11°C highs, but current jet stream positioning favors subdued highs absent strong high-pressure ridging; upcoming 00Z model runs could shift probabilities if boundary layer mixing varies. Uncertainty stems from 1–2°C model spread typical for 1–2 day leads.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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