Trader consensus clusters around 15–17°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 15.8–16.5°C, with a tight spread of ±1.5°C reflecting model agreement on mild southerly flow overriding cooler continental air masses. This edges above the late-March climatological mean of 13–14°C, per Turkish State Meteorological Service records, due to high-pressure ridging enhancing afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and cloud cover variability—persistent stratus could cap peaks at 15°C, while clearer conditions favor 17°C—amid low-confidence tails like 18°C+ from outlier dry advection. Official Ankara station observations will resolve, with 12Z model updates pivotal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月28日のアンカラの最高気温は?
3月28日のアンカラの最高気温は?
17°C 21%
15℃ 20%
16°C 19%
13°C 14%
8℃以下
1%
9°C
6%
10℃
8%
11°C
5%
12℃
11%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15℃
20%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C以上
12%
17°C 21%
15℃ 20%
16°C 19%
13°C 14%
8℃以下
1%
9°C
6%
10℃
8%
11°C
5%
12℃
11%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15℃
20%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 15–17°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 15.8–16.5°C, with a tight spread of ±1.5°C reflecting model agreement on mild southerly flow overriding cooler continental air masses. This edges above the late-March climatological mean of 13–14°C, per Turkish State Meteorological Service records, due to high-pressure ridging enhancing afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and cloud cover variability—persistent stratus could cap peaks at 15°C, while clearer conditions favor 17°C—amid low-confidence tails like 18°C+ from outlier dry advection. Official Ankara station observations will resolve, with 12Z model updates pivotal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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