Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on March 28 points to a daytime high near 2–3°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, driving trader consensus with 3°C (23.5%) and 2°C (23.0%) as co-leaders on Polymarket. This reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours, showing a shallow cold air mass lingering post-recent frontal passage, limiting daytime warming despite modest solar heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could cap at 1°C (18.0%) or below, while clearer breaks favor 4°C (13.5%)—alongside urban heat effects at official Pearson Airport measurement site. Uncertainty persists in fine-scale boundary layer mixing; watch hourly updates from midnight UTC for shifts before resolution. Historical March norms (~6°C) underscore the anomalously cool setup from persistent Arctic outflow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on March 28?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 28?
3°C 27%
2°C 24%
1℃ 19%
4°C 14%
-1°C以下
8%
0°C
8%
1℃
19%
2°C
24%
3°C
27%
4°C
14%
5°C
7%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C or higher
5%
3°C 27%
2°C 24%
1℃ 19%
4°C 14%
-1°C以下
8%
0°C
8%
1℃
19%
2°C
24%
3°C
27%
4°C
14%
5°C
7%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on March 28 points to a daytime high near 2–3°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, driving trader consensus with 3°C (23.5%) and 2°C (23.0%) as co-leaders on Polymarket. This reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours, showing a shallow cold air mass lingering post-recent frontal passage, limiting daytime warming despite modest solar heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could cap at 1°C (18.0%) or below, while clearer breaks favor 4°C (13.5%)—alongside urban heat effects at official Pearson Airport measurement site. Uncertainty persists in fine-scale boundary layer mixing; watch hourly updates from midnight UTC for shifts before resolution. Historical March norms (~6°C) underscore the anomalously cool setup from persistent Arctic outflow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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