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選挙·プライマリ

GA -05民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
選挙·プライマリ

GA -05民主党予備選挙優勝者

ニケマ・ウィリアムズ 93%

ビクター・ヒル 3.1%

アンドレス・カストロ 3.0%

アーネトレス・ビーティー 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

ニケマ・ウィリアムズ 93%

ビクター・ヒル 3.1%

アンドレス・カストロ 3.0%

アーネトレス・ビーティー 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

ニケマ・ウィリアムズ

$2,415 Vol.

93%

ビクター・ヒル

$545 Vol.

3%

アンドレス・カストロ

$0 Vol.

3%

アーネトレス・ビーティー

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 93% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, reflecting her entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, massive fundraising lead with $375,000 in receipts and $52,000 cash on hand through late 2025 versus challenger Arnetress Beatty's $6,000, and recent high-profile support including a March 14 fundraiser with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Challengers Andres Castro and Victor Hill, the latter burdened by ongoing civil rights convictions and a January bankruptcy filing, have withdrawn or been disqualified post-qualifying deadline on March 6, leaving a thin field. While a runoff looms June 16 absent a majority, upset scenarios like a Williams scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain remote given historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar primaries.

Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 93% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, reflecting her entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, massive fundraising lead with $375,000 in receipts and $52,000 cash on hand through late 2025 versus challenger Arnetress Beatty's $6,000, and recent high-profile support including a March 14 fundraiser with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Challengers Andres Castro and Victor Hill, the latter burdened by ongoing civil rights convictions and a January bankruptcy filing, have withdrawn or been disqualified post-qualifying deadline on March 6, leaving a thin field. While a runoff looms June 16 absent a majority, upset scenarios like a Williams scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain remote given historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar primaries.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 93% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, reflecting her entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, massive fundraising lead with $375,000 in receipts and $52,000 cash on hand through late 2025 versus challenger Arnetress Beatty's $6,000, and recent high-profile support including a March 14 fundraiser with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Challengers Andres Castro and Victor Hill, the latter burdened by ongoing civil rights convictions and a January bankruptcy filing, have withdrawn or been disqualified post-qualifying deadline on March 6, leaving a thin field. While a runoff looms June 16 absent a majority, upset scenarios like a Williams scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain remote given historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar primaries.

Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 93% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, reflecting her entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, massive fundraising lead with $375,000 in receipts and $52,000 cash on hand through late 2025 versus challenger Arnetress Beatty's $6,000, and recent high-profile support including a March 14 fundraiser with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Challengers Andres Castro and Victor Hill, the latter burdened by ongoing civil rights convictions and a January bankruptcy filing, have withdrawn or been disqualified post-qualifying deadline on March 6, leaving a thin field. While a runoff looms June 16 absent a majority, upset scenarios like a Williams scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain remote given historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar primaries.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「GA -05民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ニケマ・ウィリアムズ」で93%、次いで「ビクター・ヒル」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、93¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に93%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「GA -05民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 25, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「GA -05民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「GA -05民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ニケマ・ウィリアムズ」で93%であり、市場がこの結果に93%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ビクター・ヒル」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「GA -05民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。