Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-279 posts for Elon Musk's X activity spanning March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 and 260-279 bins deadlocked at 16.5% each, reflecting uncertainty in sustaining his recent late-March pace of roughly 30 tweets daily from the prior week's resolved 200-259 tally over eight days. This competitive dynamic stems from steady bursts of engagement—evident in early-period spikes on Tesla FSD 14.3 beta news, Neuralink ALS breakthroughs, and viral political takes on immigration—mirroring historical patterns without breakout catalysts. Differentiating factors include prospective SpaceX milestones or Tesla updates, which could accelerate toward 280+ amid Musk's meme-fueled, real-time cultural commentary, though lulls remain plausible given fluctuating daily rhythms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日240〜259 17%
260〜279 17%
220〜239 14%
280〜299 14%
$4,127,073 Vol.
$4,127,073 Vol.
20～39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60～79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100～119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160〜179
1%
180～199
1%
200～219
8%
220〜239
14%
240〜259
17%
260〜279
17%
280〜299
14%
300〜319
13%
320〜339
7%
340〜359
4%
360～379
3%
380〜399
3%
400〜419
2%
420〜439
1%
440～459
1%
460～479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520～539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580以上
<1%
240〜259 17%
260〜279 17%
220〜239 14%
280〜299 14%
$4,127,073 Vol.
$4,127,073 Vol.
20～39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60～79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100～119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160〜179
1%
180～199
1%
200～219
8%
220〜239
14%
240〜259
17%
260〜279
17%
280〜299
14%
300〜319
13%
320〜339
7%
340〜359
4%
360～379
3%
380〜399
3%
400〜419
2%
420〜439
1%
440～459
1%
460～479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520～539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 240-279 posts for Elon Musk's X activity spanning March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 and 260-279 bins deadlocked at 16.5% each, reflecting uncertainty in sustaining his recent late-March pace of roughly 30 tweets daily from the prior week's resolved 200-259 tally over eight days. This competitive dynamic stems from steady bursts of engagement—evident in early-period spikes on Tesla FSD 14.3 beta news, Neuralink ALS breakthroughs, and viral political takes on immigration—mirroring historical patterns without breakout catalysts. Differentiating factors include prospective SpaceX milestones or Tesla updates, which could accelerate toward 280+ amid Musk's meme-fueled, real-time cultural commentary, though lulls remain plausible given fluctuating daily rhythms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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