Trader consensus heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with 84.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, propelled by the MCU's event-film dominance—previous Avengers entries like Infinity War ($257M) and Endgame ($357M)—and surging hype from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting, early tracking outpacing Dune: Messiah, and rumors of an imminent trailer plus a potential release shift to dodge its December 18 clash. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's massive $125M projected domestic debut over Easter weekend (topping Project Hail Mary's $81M) marks the year's record so far but trails MCU precedents amid mixed reviews. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (6.5%) builds momentum from its record-shattering trailer topping 1 billion views, though summer competition tempers expectations; watch for presale data and guild buzz ahead of key summer and holiday releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年に最大の公開週末を迎えた映画はどれですか?
2026年に最大の公開週末を迎えた映画はどれですか?
アベンジャーズ:ドゥームズデイ 85%
スパイダーマン:ブランド・ニュー・デイ 7%
オデッセイ 2.9%
デューン:メサイア 1.7%
$1,374,684 Vol.
$1,374,684 Vol.
アベンジャーズ:ドゥームズデイ
85%
スパイダーマン:ブランド・ニュー・デイ
7%
オデッセイ
3%
デューン:メサイア
2%
トイ・ストーリー5
2%
マイケル
1%
スーパーマリオギャラクシー・ムービー
1%
スター・ウォーズ:マンダロリアン&グローグ
1%
ハンガー・ゲーム0:夜明けの収穫
<1%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー
<1%
アベンジャーズ:ドゥームズデイ 85%
スパイダーマン:ブランド・ニュー・デイ 7%
オデッセイ 2.9%
デューン:メサイア 1.7%
$1,374,684 Vol.
$1,374,684 Vol.
アベンジャーズ:ドゥームズデイ
85%
スパイダーマン:ブランド・ニュー・デイ
7%
オデッセイ
3%
デューン:メサイア
2%
トイ・ストーリー5
2%
マイケル
1%
スーパーマリオギャラクシー・ムービー
1%
スター・ウォーズ:マンダロリアン&グローグ
1%
ハンガー・ゲーム0:夜明けの収穫
<1%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with 84.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, propelled by the MCU's event-film dominance—previous Avengers entries like Infinity War ($257M) and Endgame ($357M)—and surging hype from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting, early tracking outpacing Dune: Messiah, and rumors of an imminent trailer plus a potential release shift to dodge its December 18 clash. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's massive $125M projected domestic debut over Easter weekend (topping Project Hail Mary's $81M) marks the year's record so far but trails MCU precedents amid mixed reviews. Spider-Man: Brand New Day (6.5%) builds momentum from its record-shattering trailer topping 1 billion views, though summer competition tempers expectations; watch for presale data and guild buzz ahead of key summer and holiday releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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