Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 1240-1359 tweets in April 2026 as the tight frontrunners at around 9% each, extrapolating from his March total of roughly 1320-1359 posts—a steady 40-45 daily cadence that has defined his 2026 X dominance as tech's most viral voice. Recent days show no momentum shift, with Musk sustaining 30-50 posts amid FSD 14.3 beta rollout hype and Tesla Semi defenses, fueling cultural buzz on autonomy and innovation without major spikes or silences. The fragmented odds reflect high uncertainty from daily volatility, where tweet storms around early Starship Flight 12 or late-month Q1 earnings (circa April 21-28) could elevate counts toward 1360+, while lulls from xAI focus or travel drag below 1240; traders weigh these swing factors against his skin-in-the-game posting rhythm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1320〜1359 9.6%
1240〜1279 9.2%
1280～1319 8.5%
1000〜1039 7.8%
$4,495,539 Vol.
$4,495,539 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40～59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100～119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160～179
<1%
180〜199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220～239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260～279
<1%
280～299
<1%
300～319
<1%
320～339
<1%
340〜359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380〜399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580～599
<1%
600～619
<1%
620〜639
<1%
640〜659
<1%
660～679
<1%
680〜699
<1%
700〜719
<1%
720～739
<1%
740～759
<1%
760～779
<1%
780〜799
<1%
800〜839
1%
840〜879
1%
880〜919
4%
920〜959
<1%
960～999
4%
1000〜1039
8%
1040～1079
8%
1080～1119
5%
1120～1159
2%
1160～1199
6%
1200～1239
6%
1240〜1279
9%
1280～1319
9%
1320〜1359
10%
1360～1399
8%
1400〜1439
7%
1440〜1479
5%
1480～1519
5%
1520〜1559
3%
1560〜1599
3%
1600〜1679
2%
1,680〜1,759
1%
1,760〜1,839
2%
1840〜1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000件以上
1%
1320〜1359 9.6%
1240〜1279 9.2%
1280～1319 8.5%
1000〜1039 7.8%
$4,495,539 Vol.
$4,495,539 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40～59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80〜99
<1%
100～119
<1%
120〜139
<1%
140〜159
<1%
160～179
<1%
180〜199
<1%
200〜219
<1%
220～239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260～279
<1%
280～299
<1%
300～319
<1%
320～339
<1%
340〜359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380〜399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580～599
<1%
600～619
<1%
620〜639
<1%
640〜659
<1%
660～679
<1%
680〜699
<1%
700〜719
<1%
720～739
<1%
740～759
<1%
760～779
<1%
780〜799
<1%
800〜839
1%
840〜879
1%
880〜919
4%
920〜959
<1%
960～999
4%
1000〜1039
8%
1040～1079
8%
1080～1119
5%
1120～1159
2%
1160～1199
6%
1200～1239
6%
1240〜1279
9%
1280～1319
9%
1320〜1359
10%
1360～1399
8%
1400〜1439
7%
1440〜1479
5%
1480～1519
5%
1520〜1559
3%
1560〜1599
3%
1600〜1679
2%
1,680〜1,759
1%
1,760〜1,839
2%
1840〜1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000件以上
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 1240-1359 tweets in April 2026 as the tight frontrunners at around 9% each, extrapolating from his March total of roughly 1320-1359 posts—a steady 40-45 daily cadence that has defined his 2026 X dominance as tech's most viral voice. Recent days show no momentum shift, with Musk sustaining 30-50 posts amid FSD 14.3 beta rollout hype and Tesla Semi defenses, fueling cultural buzz on autonomy and innovation without major spikes or silences. The fragmented odds reflect high uncertainty from daily volatility, where tweet storms around early Starship Flight 12 or late-month Q1 earnings (circa April 21-28) could elevate counts toward 1360+, while lulls from xAI focus or travel drag below 1240; traders weigh these swing factors against his skin-in-the-game posting rhythm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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