Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her high public approval ratings and steady handling of the ongoing political crisis as acting head of state since Rumen Radev's January resignation to pursue parliamentary ambitions. Former Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov trails at 21%, drawing support from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition amid voter demands for anti-corruption reforms. Rosen Zhelyazkov at 11% and ex-President Rosen Plevneliev at 10.8% reflect lingering GERB influence despite the December 2025 government collapse under protests, while Atanas Atanasov (10.3%) benefits from Democratic Bulgaria backing. The April 19 snap parliamentary elections, called by Iotova after budget and corruption scandals, heighten uncertainty, with Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance surging in legislative polls potentially reshaping presidential coalitions and candidacies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日イリアナ・イオトヴァ 40%
ニコライ・デンコフ 21%
ローセン・プレヴネリエフ 17.2%
ローゼン・ジェリャズコフ 11%
$15,699 Vol.
$15,699 Vol.
イリアナ・イオトヴァ
40%
ニコライ・デンコフ
21%
ローセン・プレヴネリエフ
11%
ローゼン・ジェリャズコフ
11%
アタナス・アタナソフ
10%
ボイコ・ボリソフ
7%
ヴァシル・テルジエフ
6%
ナタリア・キセロヴァ
5%
コスタディン・コスタディノフ
3%
ブラゴミル・コツェフ
9%
デリャン・ペエフスキー
2%
クルム・ザルコフ
1%
ヤナキ・ストイロフ
6%
イリアナ・イオトヴァ 40%
ニコライ・デンコフ 21%
ローセン・プレヴネリエフ 17.2%
ローゼン・ジェリャズコフ 11%
$15,699 Vol.
$15,699 Vol.
イリアナ・イオトヴァ
40%
ニコライ・デンコフ
21%
ローセン・プレヴネリエフ
11%
ローゼン・ジェリャズコフ
11%
アタナス・アタナソフ
10%
ボイコ・ボリソフ
7%
ヴァシル・テルジエフ
6%
ナタリア・キセロヴァ
5%
コスタディン・コスタディノフ
3%
ブラゴミル・コツェフ
9%
デリャン・ペエフスキー
2%
クルム・ザルコフ
1%
ヤナキ・ストイロフ
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her high public approval ratings and steady handling of the ongoing political crisis as acting head of state since Rumen Radev's January resignation to pursue parliamentary ambitions. Former Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov trails at 21%, drawing support from the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition amid voter demands for anti-corruption reforms. Rosen Zhelyazkov at 11% and ex-President Rosen Plevneliev at 10.8% reflect lingering GERB influence despite the December 2025 government collapse under protests, while Atanas Atanasov (10.3%) benefits from Democratic Bulgaria backing. The April 19 snap parliamentary elections, called by Iotova after budget and corruption scandals, heighten uncertainty, with Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance surging in legislative polls potentially reshaping presidential coalitions and candidacies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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