Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a CDU plurality win at 54% in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by the latest Civey poll published March 30 showing the incumbent CDU at 23%, ahead of SPD, Die Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered at 15-16% in a tight race for second. This reinforces stable polling trends since January, with Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition holding despite a January power outage, amid East-West divides favoring CDU in the West. Recent CDU success in Rhineland-Palatinate's March state election bolsters national momentum, while FDP and BSW poll below the 5% threshold, fragmenting opposition votes under proportional representation. Upcoming campaign events could shift dynamics in this closely contested field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日CDU 54%
グリューネ 17.1%
リンク 11%
SPD 9.6%
$2,539,583 Vol.
$2,539,583 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
54%
グリューネ
17%
リンク
11%
SPD
10%
AfD
9%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU 54%
グリューネ 17.1%
リンク 11%
SPD 9.6%
$2,539,583 Vol.
$2,539,583 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$9,589 Vol.
54%
グリューネ
$23,334 Vol.
17%
リンク
$8,469 Vol.
11%
SPD
$285,491 Vol.
10%
AfD
$2,179,749 Vol.
9%
BSW
$18,934 Vol.
1%
FDP
$8,860 Vol.
<1%
FW
$5,157 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a CDU plurality win at 54% in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by the latest Civey poll published March 30 showing the incumbent CDU at 23%, ahead of SPD, Die Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered at 15-16% in a tight race for second. This reinforces stable polling trends since January, with Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition holding despite a January power outage, amid East-West divides favoring CDU in the West. Recent CDU success in Rhineland-Palatinate's March state election bolsters national momentum, while FDP and BSW poll below the 5% threshold, fragmenting opposition votes under proportional representation. Upcoming campaign events could shift dynamics in this closely contested field.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
音量
$2,539,583終了日
Sep 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a CDU plurality win at 54% in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by the latest Civey poll published March 30 showing the incumbent CDU at 23%, ahead of SPD, Die Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered at 15-16% in a tight race for second. This reinforces stable polling trends since January, with Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition holding despite a January power outage, amid East-West divides favoring CDU in the West. Recent CDU success in Rhineland-Palatinate's March state election bolsters national momentum, while FDP and BSW poll below the 5% threshold, fragmenting opposition votes under proportional representation. Upcoming campaign events could shift dynamics in this closely contested field.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
音量
$2,539,583終了日
Sep 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a CDU plurality win at 54% in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by the latest Civey poll published March 30 showing the incumbent CDU at 23%, ahead of SPD, Die Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered at 15-16% in a tight race for second. This reinforces stable polling trends since January, with Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition holding despite a January power outage, amid East-West divides favoring CDU in the West. Recent CDU success in Rhineland-Palatinate's March state election bolsters national momentum, while FDP and BSW poll below the 5% threshold, fragmenting opposition votes under proportional representation. Upcoming campaign events could shift dynamics in this closely contested field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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