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世界·経済政策

3月のブラジル銀行の決定は？

Market icon
世界·経済政策

3月のブラジル銀行の決定は？

Ended: Mar 17

Apr 28

Jun 16

Ended: Mar 17

Apr 28

Jun 16

引き下げ 100.0%

引き上げ <1%

変更なし <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

引き下げ 100.0%

引き上げ <1%

変更なし <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

引き上げ

$0 Vol.

いいえ

変更なし

$0 Vol.

いいえ

引き下げ

$0 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「引き下げ」で100%、次いで「引き上げ」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「3月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 23, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「3月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「引き下げ」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「引き上げ」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月のブラジル銀行の決定は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。