Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66.5% implied probability to Argentina's March monthly CPI landing in the 3.1–3.3% bin, driven by February's actual 2.4% print—below consensus forecasts—which reinforced expectations of sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. Core inflation trends eased further last week per INDEC breakdowns, with private economist surveys (median 3.2%) aligning closely amid stable peso dynamics and controlled public spending. Lower bins trail due to persistent food price pressures, while upside risks like 3.7%+ remain minimal absent commodity shocks. Traders eye the April 14 INDEC release as the resolution catalyst, with current pricing reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism for sub-4% territory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 67%
2.8–3.0% 19%
3.4–3.6% 9.0%
2.5–2.7% 8%
$11,118 Vol.
$11,118 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
4%
2.5–2.7%
8%
2.8–3.0%
19%
3.1–3.3%
67%
3.4–3.6%
9%
3.7%+
3%
3.1–3.3% 67%
2.8–3.0% 19%
3.4–3.6% 9.0%
2.5–2.7% 8%
$11,118 Vol.
$11,118 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
≤2.1%
$1,146 Vol.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$0 Vol.
4%
2.5–2.7%
$1,081 Vol.
8%
2.8–3.0%
$1,302 Vol.
19%
3.1–3.3%
$3,370 Vol.
67%
3.4–3.6%
$1,376 Vol.
9%
3.7%+
$2,843 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66.5% implied probability to Argentina's March monthly CPI landing in the 3.1–3.3% bin, driven by February's actual 2.4% print—below consensus forecasts—which reinforced expectations of sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. Core inflation trends eased further last week per INDEC breakdowns, with private economist surveys (median 3.2%) aligning closely amid stable peso dynamics and controlled public spending. Lower bins trail due to persistent food price pressures, while upside risks like 3.7%+ remain minimal absent commodity shocks. Traders eye the April 14 INDEC release as the resolution catalyst, with current pricing reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism for sub-4% territory.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
音量
$11,118終了日
Apr 14, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66.5% implied probability to Argentina's March monthly CPI landing in the 3.1–3.3% bin, driven by February's actual 2.4% print—below consensus forecasts—which reinforced expectations of sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. Core inflation trends eased further last week per INDEC breakdowns, with private economist surveys (median 3.2%) aligning closely amid stable peso dynamics and controlled public spending. Lower bins trail due to persistent food price pressures, while upside risks like 3.7%+ remain minimal absent commodity shocks. Traders eye the April 14 INDEC release as the resolution catalyst, with current pricing reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism for sub-4% territory.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$11,118終了日
Apr 14, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66.5% implied probability to Argentina's March monthly CPI landing in the 3.1–3.3% bin, driven by February's actual 2.4% print—below consensus forecasts—which reinforced expectations of sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. Core inflation trends eased further last week per INDEC breakdowns, with private economist surveys (median 3.2%) aligning closely amid stable peso dynamics and controlled public spending. Lower bins trail due to persistent food price pressures, while upside risks like 3.7%+ remain minimal absent commodity shocks. Traders eye the April 14 INDEC release as the resolution catalyst, with current pricing reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism for sub-4% territory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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