報酬10、4.5、50 予測とオッズ
·Frequently Asked Questions
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Polymarket currently hosts 16 active markets for 報酬10、4.5、50 that lets you track or trade on predictions like "サンタクルス州知事選挙の勝者(ボリビア)". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $866K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.
Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "インフルエンザの入院率2026年第6週?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.
As of today, the most active market is "インフルエンザの入院率2026年第6週?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 70~80. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.
It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 報酬10、4.5、50 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.