Market icon
選挙·プライマリ

CA -17プライマリーウィナー

Market icon
選挙·プライマリ

CA -17プライマリーウィナー

$43,664 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$43,664 Vol.

Polymarket

ロ・カンナ

$8,436 Vol.

98%

リテシュ・タンドン

$5,069 Vol.

23%

ハー・ファン

$7,896 Vol.

19%

ニコラス・フィナン

$22,264 Vol.

8%

イーサン・アガルワル

$0 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna holds a strong position in California's 17th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by over $15 million in cash on hand and the district's D+21 partisan lean in this Silicon Valley-area seat. Recent entrant Ethan Agarwal, a tech entrepreneur who abandoned a gubernatorial bid, poses the primary Democratic challenge amid tensions between progressive lawmakers and industry leaders over stock trading and billionaire influence. Republicans Ritesh Tandon on his fourth run and Jennie Ha Phan, plus Libertarian Joe Dehn and Democrat Mike Katz, round out the certified field released March 26. Absent polling, trader focus remains on Khanna's fundraising edge and historical dominance, with voter registration closing May 18 and early voting starting May 23 potentially shaping turnout in this safe Democratic battleground.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$43,664
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna holds a strong position in California's 17th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by over $15 million in cash on hand and the district's D+21 partisan lean in this Silicon Valley-area seat. Recent entrant Ethan Agarwal, a tech entrepreneur who abandoned a gubernatorial bid, poses the primary Democratic challenge amid tensions between progressive lawmakers and industry leaders over stock trading and billionaire influence. Republicans Ritesh Tandon on his fourth run and Jennie Ha Phan, plus Libertarian Joe Dehn and Democrat Mike Katz, round out the certified field released March 26. Absent polling, trader focus remains on Khanna's fundraising edge and historical dominance, with voter registration closing May 18 and early voting starting May 23 potentially shaping turnout in this safe Democratic battleground.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$43,664
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「CA -17プライマリーウィナー」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ロ・カンナ」で98%、次いで「イーサン・アガルワル」が55%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「CA -17プライマリーウィナー」は$43.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 29, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「CA -17プライマリーウィナー」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA -17プライマリーウィナー」の現在のフロントランナーは「ロ・カンナ」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「イーサン・アガルワル」で55%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA -17プライマリーウィナー」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。