In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, where term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy steps aside, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability, reflecting a February Lake Research Partners poll showing him leading a crowded nonpartisan primary field at 22% amid high undecideds (23%). Strong early fundraising—$350,000 mostly from Alaskans—bolsters his position as the top Democrat, contrasting self-funded Republicans like Treg Taylor ($880,000) and podiatrist Matt Heilala ($1.3 million). Bernadette Wilson trails at 14% with endorsements from Rep. Byron Donalds, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags despite name recognition. In the top-four primary on August 18 ahead of ranked-choice general, GOP vote-splitting favors Begich advancing; consolidation could follow endorsements, fresh polls, or Peltola's unlikely entry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 10%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$374,409 Vol.
$374,409 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
10%
エドナ・デブリーズ
7%
トレグ・テイラー
10%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
5%
リサ・マーカウスキー
5%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 10%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$374,409 Vol.
$374,409 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
10%
エドナ・デブリーズ
7%
トレグ・テイラー
10%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
5%
リサ・マーカウスキー
5%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, where term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy steps aside, trader consensus favors former Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 25% implied probability, reflecting a February Lake Research Partners poll showing him leading a crowded nonpartisan primary field at 22% amid high undecideds (23%). Strong early fundraising—$350,000 mostly from Alaskans—bolsters his position as the top Democrat, contrasting self-funded Republicans like Treg Taylor ($880,000) and podiatrist Matt Heilala ($1.3 million). Bernadette Wilson trails at 14% with endorsements from Rep. Byron Donalds, while Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom lags despite name recognition. In the top-four primary on August 18 ahead of ranked-choice general, GOP vote-splitting favors Begich advancing; consolidation could follow endorsements, fresh polls, or Peltola's unlikely entry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問