Ukrainian forces struck Russian positions and an ammunition depot inside Uspenivka on March 30, confirming close proximity to the village in Zaporizhzhia Oblast's Oleksandrivka direction, but no verified full re-entry as of early April. Ongoing clashes follow mid-March advances to the outskirts, where Ukraine cleared high ground west and northeast amid Russian defensive preparations for a spring-summer offensive. Institute for the Study of War reports Ukrainian defensive successes constraining Russian mechanized assaults nearby, including repelled attacks in Huliaipole on March 31. Traders assess limited Ukrainian momentum against Russian mobilizations starting April 1 and frontline resource strains, with battles in this sector pivotal for any territorial shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'Ukraine réintégrera-t-elle Uspenivka d'ici... ?
L'Ukraine réintégrera-t-elle Uspenivka d'ici... ?
$59,486 Vol.
31 mars
<1%
30 avril
18%
$59,486 Vol.
31 mars
<1%
30 avril
18%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces struck Russian positions and an ammunition depot inside Uspenivka on March 30, confirming close proximity to the village in Zaporizhzhia Oblast's Oleksandrivka direction, but no verified full re-entry as of early April. Ongoing clashes follow mid-March advances to the outskirts, where Ukraine cleared high ground west and northeast amid Russian defensive preparations for a spring-summer offensive. Institute for the Study of War reports Ukrainian defensive successes constraining Russian mechanized assaults nearby, including repelled attacks in Huliaipole on March 31. Traders assess limited Ukrainian momentum against Russian mobilizations starting April 1 and frontline resource strains, with battles in this sector pivotal for any territorial shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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