Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, who escaped the country in December 2025 via a perilous boat journey amid regime threats, announced on March 30 her imminent return, declaring the Maduro holdover regime "irreparably wounded" following U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro and the appointment of interim President Delcy Rodríguez. Traders weigh her declarations against warnings from Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello of a potential "surprise" arrest upon reentry, as she remains abroad after prior March 1 pledges of a return "in coming weeks." Her push aligns with opposition demands for new elections, but legal investigations and security risks under the transitional government heighten uncertainty over entry method and timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMaría Corina Machado entre au Venezuela par... ?
María Corina Machado entre au Venezuela par... ?
$5,378,430 Vol.

30 avril
16%

May 31
32%

June 30
38%
$5,378,430 Vol.

30 avril
16%

May 31
32%

June 30
38%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, who escaped the country in December 2025 via a perilous boat journey amid regime threats, announced on March 30 her imminent return, declaring the Maduro holdover regime "irreparably wounded" following U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro and the appointment of interim President Delcy Rodríguez. Traders weigh her declarations against warnings from Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello of a potential "surprise" arrest upon reentry, as she remains abroad after prior March 1 pledges of a return "in coming weeks." Her push aligns with opposition demands for new elections, but legal investigations and security risks under the transitional government heighten uncertainty over entry method and timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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