Trader consensus heavily favors bilateral meetings between President Trump and leaders like Brazilian President Lula da Silva (94%) and Chinese President Xi Jinping (92%) in 2026, driven by recent White House announcements confirming a Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15 after a delay due to the Iran conflict. Similar high probabilities for Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (74%) and Russian President Vladimir Putin (74%) reflect ongoing diplomatic signaling amid Middle East tensions and Ukraine peace talks, including Trump's March 26 cabinet discussion on regional wars. No such meetings have occurred yet this year, but scheduled summits and reciprocal visits underpin the elevated odds, with potential shifts from escalating Iran developments or surprise negotiations before year-end resolution on December 31.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$281,891 Vol.

Xi Jinping
92%

Lula da Silva
83%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
71%

Mohammed ben Salmane
72%

Keir Starmer
68%

Vladimir Poutine
68%

Alexandre Loukachenko
66%

Pape Léon XIV
38%

Kim Jong Un
30%

Changpeng Zhao
27%

Nick Fuentes
10%

Nicolás Maduro
18%

Jair Bolsonaro
10%

iShowSpeed
9%

MrBeast
9%

Lai Ching-te
6%

Yoon Suk Yeol
2%
$281,891 Vol.

Xi Jinping
92%

Lula da Silva
83%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
71%

Mohammed ben Salmane
72%

Keir Starmer
68%

Vladimir Poutine
68%

Alexandre Loukachenko
66%

Pape Léon XIV
38%

Kim Jong Un
30%

Changpeng Zhao
27%

Nick Fuentes
10%

Nicolás Maduro
18%

Jair Bolsonaro
10%

iShowSpeed
9%

MrBeast
9%

Lai Ching-te
6%

Yoon Suk Yeol
2%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Trader consensus heavily favors bilateral meetings between President Trump and leaders like Brazilian President Lula da Silva (94%) and Chinese President Xi Jinping (92%) in 2026, driven by recent White House announcements confirming a Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15 after a delay due to the Iran conflict. Similar high probabilities for Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (74%) and Russian President Vladimir Putin (74%) reflect ongoing diplomatic signaling amid Middle East tensions and Ukraine peace talks, including Trump's March 26 cabinet discussion on regional wars. No such meetings have occurred yet this year, but scheduled summits and reciprocal visits underpin the elevated odds, with potential shifts from escalating Iran developments or surprise negotiations before year-end resolution on December 31.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes