California's 2026 gubernatorial top-two primary remains wide open after incumbent Gavin Newsom hits term limits, with Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis leading recent Emerson College polling at 15% among declared candidates, ahead of former Attorney General Xavier Becerra (9%) and Superintendent Tony Thurmond (8%), though over 50% remain undecided. High-profile speculation around Kamala Harris has cooled without an announcement, while Republican Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco provides nominal opposition in the Democratic-dominated state. No major developments in the past 30 days, but traders monitor potential late entrants like Katie Porter post her Senate loss and candidate filing deadlines in December 2025–January 2026 ahead of the March 3, 2026 primary vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$194,826 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
57%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
28%
Katie Porter
25%
Matt Mahan
20%
Ché Ahn
11%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Ian Calderon
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
$194,826 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
72%
Steve Hilton
57%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
28%
Katie Porter
25%
Matt Mahan
20%
Ché Ahn
11%
Xavier Becerra
8%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Ian Calderon
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Marché ouvert : Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 2026 gubernatorial top-two primary remains wide open after incumbent Gavin Newsom hits term limits, with Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis leading recent Emerson College polling at 15% among declared candidates, ahead of former Attorney General Xavier Becerra (9%) and Superintendent Tony Thurmond (8%), though over 50% remain undecided. High-profile speculation around Kamala Harris has cooled without an announcement, while Republican Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco provides nominal opposition in the Democratic-dominated state. No major developments in the past 30 days, but traders monitor potential late entrants like Katie Porter post her Senate loss and candidate filing deadlines in December 2025–January 2026 ahead of the March 3, 2026 primary vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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