Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 (79.5%) amid stalled ceasefire negotiations and mutual preconditions: Russia demands territorial concessions in Donetsk and elsewhere, while Ukraine insists on security guarantees and withdrawal signals. Recent escalations, including Russian drone strikes killing civilians and Zelenskyy's rejected Easter truce proposal, underscore persistent deadlock despite U.S. envoy efforts like Witkoff's trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi in January. Zelenskyy's April 4 Istanbul visit with Erdogan slightly bolsters Turkey's slim odds (2.7%) given its mediation history, but Putin has repeatedly spurned direct summits. Neutral venues like Qatar/UAE (1.8%) and Saudi Arabia (1.7%) linger from prior hosting roles, yet lack momentum without breakthroughs; Hungary (1.6%) reflects Orban's outlier diplomacy. Upcoming U.S.-led talks could shift dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPas de rencontre avant 2027 80%
Turquie 2.7%
États-Unis 2.2%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 1.8%
$1,892,672 Vol.
$1,892,672 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
80%

Turquie
3%

États-Unis
2%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Hongrie
2%

Russia
1%

Suisse
1%

Biélorussie
1%

China
1%

Inde
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Ukraine
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
Pas de rencontre avant 2027 80%
Turquie 2.7%
États-Unis 2.2%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 1.8%
$1,892,672 Vol.
$1,892,672 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
80%

Turquie
3%

États-Unis
2%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Hongrie
2%

Russia
1%

Suisse
1%

Biélorussie
1%

China
1%

Inde
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Ukraine
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 (79.5%) amid stalled ceasefire negotiations and mutual preconditions: Russia demands territorial concessions in Donetsk and elsewhere, while Ukraine insists on security guarantees and withdrawal signals. Recent escalations, including Russian drone strikes killing civilians and Zelenskyy's rejected Easter truce proposal, underscore persistent deadlock despite U.S. envoy efforts like Witkoff's trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi in January. Zelenskyy's April 4 Istanbul visit with Erdogan slightly bolsters Turkey's slim odds (2.7%) given its mediation history, but Putin has repeatedly spurned direct summits. Neutral venues like Qatar/UAE (1.8%) and Saudi Arabia (1.7%) linger from prior hosting roles, yet lack momentum without breakthroughs; Hungary (1.6%) reflects Orban's outlier diplomacy. Upcoming U.S.-led talks could shift dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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