Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a prolonged DHS funding lapse past March 31 at 66%, driven by partisan standoffs over appropriations bills amid the latest government shutdown threat. House Republicans, led by Speaker Johnson, passed a package of spending bills on March 22 with demanded cuts to non-defense discretionary funding including DHS and stricter border security measures via ICE and CBP, but Senate Democrats decry the cuts and policy riders, stalling full passage before the March 23 midnight deadline. A short-term continuing resolution averted immediate closure last week, yet hardline GOP holdouts and Democratic insistence on baseline funding signal slim chances for resolution in the March 24-27 (8%) or 28-31 (26%) windows, with upcoming Senate floor votes as the next catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQuand l'arrêt du DHS prendra-t-il fin ?
Quand l'arrêt du DHS prendra-t-il fin ?
Après le 31 mars 66.1%
28-31 mars 25.7%
24-27 mars 8.1%
$1,348,419 Vol.
$1,348,419 Vol.
24-27 mars
8%
28-31 mars
26%
Après le 31 mars
66%
Après le 31 mars 66.1%
28-31 mars 25.7%
24-27 mars 8.1%
$1,348,419 Vol.
$1,348,419 Vol.
24-27 mars
8%
28-31 mars
26%
Après le 31 mars
66%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a prolonged DHS funding lapse past March 31 at 66%, driven by partisan standoffs over appropriations bills amid the latest government shutdown threat. House Republicans, led by Speaker Johnson, passed a package of spending bills on March 22 with demanded cuts to non-defense discretionary funding including DHS and stricter border security measures via ICE and CBP, but Senate Democrats decry the cuts and policy riders, stalling full passage before the March 23 midnight deadline. A short-term continuing resolution averted immediate closure last week, yet hardline GOP holdouts and Democratic insistence on baseline funding signal slim chances for resolution in the March 24-27 (8%) or 28-31 (26%) windows, with upcoming Senate floor votes as the next catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes