Market icon
Politique·Mentions

Que dira Trump lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?

Market icon
Politique·Mentions

Que dira Trump lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?

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YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$3,412,380 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,412,380 Vol.

Polymarket

« America » / « American » plus de 50 fois

$253,722 Vol.

Oui

« America » / « American » plus de 25 fois

$344,560 Vol.

Oui

"Emploi" plus de 20 fois

$118,366 Vol.

Non

Million / Milliard / Billion plus de 15 fois

$159,242 Vol.

Oui

Biden 10+ fois

$325,541 Vol.

Non

« Frontières » 7 fois ou plus

$50,581 Vol.

Oui

Pétrole / Gaz 3+ fois

$34,362 Vol.

Oui

IA / Intelligence Artificielle 2+ fois

$74,982 Vol.

Oui

Kamala / Harris

$47,442 Vol.

Non

Le plus chaud

$84,491 Vol.

Oui

Kennedy / autisme

$21,892 Vol.

Non

Moyen-Orient

$40,063 Vol.

Non

Crypto / Bitcoin

$330,713 Vol.

Non

Israël / Gaza

$51,940 Vol.

Oui

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$37,961 Vol.

Non

Noir / Hispanique

$25,997 Vol.

Non

Gold Card / Trump Card

$43,826 Vol.

Non

L'état de l'Union est fort

$498,637 Vol.

Non

Epstein

$123,792 Vol.

Non

Monsieur le Président

$38,384 Vol.

Non

Œuf

$46,373 Vol.

Oui

Arnaque / Canular

$11,638 Vol.

Oui

Charbon

$27,237 Vol.

Non

Six Sept

$93,163 Vol.

Non

Non Non Non

$22,623 Vol.

Oui

Nobel / Prix de la Paix

$54,134 Vol.

Oui

Trop tard

$25,881 Vol.

Non

Cacahuète

$16,638 Vol.

Non

Cookie

$10,686 Vol.

Non

QI

$23,990 Vol.

Non

Stéroïde

$8,987 Vol.

Non

Alien

$68,903 Vol.

Oui

Fentanyl / Cocaïne

$7,317 Vol.

Oui

Olympique / Olympiques

$36,044 Vol.

Oui

Cour suprême

$11,027 Vol.

Oui

Nucléaire

$19,312 Vol.

Oui

Forez, bébé, forez

$17,304 Vol.

Oui

Eli Lilly

$5,746 Vol.

Non

Autopen / Auto Pen

$10,211 Vol.

Non

UFC

$19,812 Vol.

Non

Fake News

$27,451 Vol.

Non

Hockey

$104,456 Vol.

Oui

Miracle

$31,395 Vol.

Oui

Capitale du monde

$5,559 Vol.

Non

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,412,380
Date de fin
Feb 24, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 23, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Que dira Trump lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "« America » / « American » plus de 50 fois" at 100%, followed by "« America » / « American » plus de 25 fois" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Que dira Trump lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Que dira Trump lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Que dira Trump lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" is "« America » / « American » plus de 50 fois" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "« America » / « American » plus de 25 fois" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Que dira Trump lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.