Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's exceptional popularity, reaffirmed in a February 2026 Morning Consult poll naming him America's most popular governor for the 14th straight quarter, drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 78% implied probability. Scott's massive 52-point 2024 win and history of prevailing in Democratic-leaning Vermont amid high approval bolster expectations of his unannounced re-election bid facing minimal primary opposition. Democrats, with economist Amanda Janoo as their sole announced candidate since March 10, struggle to field a competitive challenger, limiting their 18% odds. Upcoming August 11 primaries could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
78%
Démocrate
18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$2,415 Vol.
78%
Démocrate
$5,194 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's exceptional popularity, reaffirmed in a February 2026 Morning Consult poll naming him America's most popular governor for the 14th straight quarter, drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 78% implied probability. Scott's massive 52-point 2024 win and history of prevailing in Democratic-leaning Vermont amid high approval bolster expectations of his unannounced re-election bid facing minimal primary opposition. Democrats, with economist Amanda Janoo as their sole announced candidate since March 10, struggle to field a competitive challenger, limiting their 18% odds. Upcoming August 11 primaries could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$7,609Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's exceptional popularity, reaffirmed in a February 2026 Morning Consult poll naming him America's most popular governor for the 14th straight quarter, drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 78% implied probability. Scott's massive 52-point 2024 win and history of prevailing in Democratic-leaning Vermont amid high approval bolster expectations of his unannounced re-election bid facing minimal primary opposition. Democrats, with economist Amanda Janoo as their sole announced candidate since March 10, struggle to field a competitive challenger, limiting their 18% odds. Upcoming August 11 primaries could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$7,609Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's exceptional popularity, reaffirmed in a February 2026 Morning Consult poll naming him America's most popular governor for the 14th straight quarter, drives trader consensus toward a Republican victory at 78% implied probability. Scott's massive 52-point 2024 win and history of prevailing in Democratic-leaning Vermont amid high approval bolster expectations of his unannounced re-election bid facing minimal primary opposition. Democrats, with economist Amanda Janoo as their sole announced candidate since March 10, struggle to field a competitive challenger, limiting their 18% odds. Upcoming August 11 primaries could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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