Mary Peltola leads trader consensus in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race at 60 percent because recent Alaska Survey Research polling shows her ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan by 5 to 7 points, while her first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million far outpaced his $1.7 million. Peltola’s January 2026 entry, her prior statewide success under ranked-choice voting, and a May affordability-focused campaign proposing tax relief for middle-income households have sustained her edge. Sullivan remains competitive through his incumbency and higher cash reserves ahead of the August jungle primary, yet the combination of polling trends and resource disparity has kept the market pricing a narrow Peltola advantage. Minor candidates register negligible shares.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales en Alaska
Mary Peltola 61%
Dan Sullivan 40%
Ann Diener <1%
Richard Grayson <1%
$328,473 Vol.
$328,473 Vol.

Mary Peltola
61%

Dan Sullivan
40%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%

Dustin Darden
<1%
Mary Peltola 61%
Dan Sullivan 40%
Ann Diener <1%
Richard Grayson <1%
$328,473 Vol.
$328,473 Vol.

Mary Peltola
61%

Dan Sullivan
40%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%

Dustin Darden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads trader consensus in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race at 60 percent because recent Alaska Survey Research polling shows her ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan by 5 to 7 points, while her first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million far outpaced his $1.7 million. Peltola’s January 2026 entry, her prior statewide success under ranked-choice voting, and a May affordability-focused campaign proposing tax relief for middle-income households have sustained her edge. Sullivan remains competitive through his incumbency and higher cash reserves ahead of the August jungle primary, yet the combination of polling trends and resource disparity has kept the market pricing a narrow Peltola advantage. Minor candidates register negligible shares.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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