Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge at 58.5% in the Alaska Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's 41%, driven by a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll from March 19-22 showing her leading 46%-41% among 1,512 likely voters. Peltola's January announcement as Democrats' top recruit shifted the contest from presumed Republican hold to Toss-up territory per Cook Political Report, bolstered by her favorable ratings (49%) outpacing Sullivan's (41%) amid voter concerns over fisheries, veterans' aid, and energy policy. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and ranked-choice voting in the November general favor moderates like Peltola, who won the at-large House seat via RCV in 2022; undecideds at 13% and fundraising momentum keep the race competitive for the GOP-leaning state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales en Alaska
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales en Alaska
Mary Peltola 59%
Dan Sullivan 41%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$290,630 Vol.
$290,630 Vol.

Mary Peltola
59%

Dan Sullivan
41%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 59%
Dan Sullivan 41%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$290,630 Vol.
$290,630 Vol.

Mary Peltola
59%

Dan Sullivan
41%

Dustin Darden
<1%

Ann Diener
<1%

Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge at 58.5% in the Alaska Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's 41%, driven by a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll from March 19-22 showing her leading 46%-41% among 1,512 likely voters. Peltola's January announcement as Democrats' top recruit shifted the contest from presumed Republican hold to Toss-up territory per Cook Political Report, bolstered by her favorable ratings (49%) outpacing Sullivan's (41%) amid voter concerns over fisheries, veterans' aid, and energy policy. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and ranked-choice voting in the November general favor moderates like Peltola, who won the at-large House seat via RCV in 2022; undecideds at 13% and fundraising momentum keep the race competitive for the GOP-leaning state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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