Trader consensus on Polymarket's Vermont Democratic gubernatorial primary market reflects a razor-thin contest between Attorney General Charity Clark (43%) and Treasurer Mike Pieciak (39.5%), driven by recent VTDigger polls showing them deadlocked around 35-37% each amid low name recognition for others like Esther Charlestin (3%). The race stays tight due to both candidates' strong fundraising—Clark at $550k and Pieciak near $450k—and overlapping appeals to progressive and moderate voters in a low-turnout primary on August 13. Separation could emerge from final endorsements (e.g., Sanders or Welch), a Burlington debate this week, or southern Vermont turnout favoring Clark, with traders pricing in high uncertainty from undecideds at 20%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCharity Clark 40%
Mike Pieciak 34%
Esther Charlestin 3.0%
$48,757 Vol.
$48,757 Vol.
Charity Clark
46%
Mike Pieciak
40%
Esther Charlestin
3%
Charity Clark 40%
Mike Pieciak 34%
Esther Charlestin 3.0%
$48,757 Vol.
$48,757 Vol.
Charity Clark
46%
Mike Pieciak
40%
Esther Charlestin
3%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Vermont Democratic gubernatorial primary market reflects a razor-thin contest between Attorney General Charity Clark (43%) and Treasurer Mike Pieciak (39.5%), driven by recent VTDigger polls showing them deadlocked around 35-37% each amid low name recognition for others like Esther Charlestin (3%). The race stays tight due to both candidates' strong fundraising—Clark at $550k and Pieciak near $450k—and overlapping appeals to progressive and moderate voters in a low-turnout primary on August 13. Separation could emerge from final endorsements (e.g., Sanders or Welch), a Burlington debate this week, or southern Vermont turnout favoring Clark, with traders pricing in high uncertainty from undecideds at 20%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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